I've been looking at the forecast graphs at Fivethirtyeight the last couple of days. There's a point where Obama's probability of winning and of taking the electoral college makes a sharp turn from falling to rising. It isn't a gradual shift, it's a sharp turnaround, an inflection point. It looks like the low point on both the electoral college and chance of winning graphs was October 12. It started rising on October 13.

I started poking around to see what could have happened to cause a major shift in direction. It didn't line up with any of the Presidential debates. So what was it?

I think I've got it figured. Follow me past the cheese doodle...