Why is the media ignoring New Jersey?

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Monday June 06, 2016 · 5:55 AM PDT

2016/06/06 · 05:55

Heading into tomorrow’s last few primaries, everyone, and I mean EVERYONE is touting the big state of California as make or break time for both Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. If Bernie wins California, he can magically go on with his campaign all the way to the convention with momentum on his side. If Hillary loses California, her momentum will be stalled and the “optics” will look bad seeing the eventual nominee losing California.

The question I have is are these people serious?? With her Puerto Rico win last night, Hillary is just 24 delegates short of getting the nomination. At 8PM, the polls close in New Jersey. At 8PM and 15 seconds, Hillary will have won New Jersey and the nomination will be hers.

Why is everyone ignoring New Jersey?? The state that will put Hillary over the top is barely being mentioned, while California, a state that probably will not matter by the time the polls close there, gets played up big time by the media?? Doesn’t make any sense to me. The point is that even if Bernie wins California by 60 points, it isn’t going to matter.

I say to the media, stop hyping California like it’s some sort of make or break state, because it isn’t. If Hillary were down 300 delegates, then it would be a different story. Don’t get me wrong, California is an important state, and they will have their voices heard, but this isn’t a must win for Hillary, so stop hyping it like it is.

My latest electoral college predictions. Clinton with a healthy lead.

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Wednesday May 25, 2016 · 8:05 PM PDT

2016/05/25 · 20:05

Here is my latest projection for the general election. I have made a couple of changes since my last blog, but I still have Hillary Clinton with a solid and comfortable lead. Feel free to add your own if you disagree with me.

Clinton states; Maine, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, DC, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Illinois, Iowa, Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Washington, Oregon, California and Hawaii. 23 states, plus DC, 281 electoral votes

Trump states; Alaska, Wyoming, Utah, Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Missouri, Louisiana, South Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky, Indiana, West Virginia 21 states, 164 electoral votes.

Tossup states, Arizona, Georgia, Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and New Hampshire. 6 states, 93 electoral votes.

Changes since last time, Arizona and Georgia from lean Trump to tossup, Florida and Ohio from lean Clinton to tossup. New Hampshire and North Carolina, too close to call.

Weather may play havoc with voting on Tuesday

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Monday April 25, 2016 · 3:47 PM PDT

2016/04/25 · 15:47

There is a high probability that weather may play an important role on turnout for voting tomorrow in the northeast. There will be a stationary front and a wave of low pressure stretching from Pennsylvania into southern New England. Right now, both Connecticut and Rhode Island will be north of the front with periods of rain and very cool and breezy. Temperatures will be stuck in the 40’s, but it will feel very raw and miserable. Pennsylvania, Maryland and Delaware will be south of the front, and it will be very warm as temps approach, if not exceed 80 degrees. However, showers and thunderstorms will be around, especially late in the day.

So if you are going to vote on Tuesday, take the umbrella along, you just might need it.

Jeff Weaver has no sense of decency anymore

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Tuesday April 19, 2016 · 8:59 PM PDT

2016/04/19 · 20:59

After Hillary big victory over Bernie Sanders tonight, MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki was figuring out what Hillary needs to get in terms or remaining delegates to put her over the top. Kornacki was with Jeff Weaver, Sanders campaign manager, and Kornacki straight out asked Weaver how Bernie was going to make up the deficit in delegates. Weaver basically said the only way Bernie could win was to go after Hillary’s super-delegates by hook or by crook and switch them to Bernie.

This guy has completely lost it. Pray tell me Mr. Weaver, how are you going to get any of her super-delegates now, when you didn’t get any when Bernie won seven states in a row and has all the momentum on his side??

Mr. Weaver, do you have some magic fairy dust to sprinkle on these super-delegates?? You going to blackmail then into supporting Bernie?? In order to make this a close race, most of those super-delegates would have to switch over to Bernie, and the chances of that happening are ZERO!! In fact, don’t be surprised if Bernie loses some of the small amount of super-delegates he has.

Someone should tell Jeff Weaver he embarrassed himself tonight. If he had any sense of decency left, he lost it for good. This episode is right up there with Karl Rove and his major embarrassment on FoxNoise a few years ago. Add this to the other mistakes Bernie made over the past week, and it all adds up to Bernie blowing it big time.

Voting for Trump in the Ct. primary

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Wednesday April 13, 2016 · 6:01 AM PDT

2016/04/13 · 06:01

Went down to the local town hall a couple of days ago, and registered as a Republican for the upcoming Connecticut primary on April 26th. Since our primary is a closed one, and independents cannot vote, I figured I would do my part to see that Donald Trump wins this state, and then loses this state come November.

Now I know there is some risk in doing this, because there is a small chance that Trump could actually win the presidency, simply because there are a lot of idiots who actually like Trump, and would vote for him, but I want to see Trump get the magic 1237, and end up being the Republican nominee.

With Trump’s negatives so high, and likely will stay that way, either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders would crush Trump in a general election. I don’t want to see a contested convention because if that happens, there is a chance that Ted Cruz, or worse yet John Kasich gets the nomination, although I think either Clinton or Sanders would beat Cruz rather handily. Kasich on the other hand would be tougher because he is not viewed by the media as a nutjob conservative, even though a lot of his ideas are way out of the mainstream.

In the end, I feel the only way to beat Trump is to make sure he’s the nominee of the GOP, then defeat him in November. The way the GOP is going about beating Trump is all wrong. Let him get to 1237, let him win the nomination. let him face either Clinton or Sanders and get destroyed. We should give Trump all the help he needs to reach his goal. I’m going to do my part.

Grow up Bernie!!

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Wednesday March 30, 2016 · 9:47 AM PDT

2016/03/30 · 09:47

One thing has become very clear in the past few weeks, Bernie Sanders has ceased being a grownup, and is now acting like a 5-year old child. Example #1, Bernie, and his followers have railed against super delegates, calling them unfair and undemocratic. Why?? Because most of them have gone to Hillary, leaving Bernie out in the cold. Now, he is trying to steal those delegates from Hillary. I wonder if Bernie would be screaming like he is, if he had Hillary’s super delegates?? Somehow I doubt it. If Sanders is looking to complain, then he should look no further than his own campaign manager Tad Devine, who set up this little system in the first place. Also why should those super delegates go to a man who only joined the Democratic party to run for president, and has really not lifted a finger to help the party?

Example #2 Barring some miracle, Hillary is going to get the Democratic nomination, so why is Bernie setting up “conditions” for Hillary to meet before throwing his support behind her? She has said that she will make most of his conditions a priority when she becomes president. So let’s call this what it is, BLACKMAIL!! You are some 700 delegates down at present, so you are in no position to dictate conditions to Hillary. When she is the nominee, she will set her own course.

Example #3 Now Bernie wants more debates!!! What, like the first dozen or so weren’t enough?? The last thing anyone needs are more debates because nothing is going to be said that hasn’t already been covered. I think both have already agreed to a debate, but in my mind, it’s totally useless.

Bernie, it’s time to put the big boy pants back on and act like a grown up. This whining coming from you and your staff and others is just plain stupid.

My way too early electoral college predictions

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Saturday March 26, 2016 · 9:08 PM PDT

2016/03/26 · 21:08

I know it doesn’t mean much right now, but here is my first, (of many), electoral college predictions Since Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the front-runners, I will concentrate on them. (My prediction for Bernie Sanders is roughly the same as Hillary give or take a state or two). So without further ado, here goes.

Hillary Clinton states; Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Washington, Oregon, California, DC and Hawaii. 25 states, 303 electoral votes

Donald Trump states; Alaska, Montana, Wyoming, Utah, Arizona, Idaho, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Indiana, Missouri, Arkansas, West Virginia, Tennessee. 22 states, 153 electoral votes.

Toss-ups Florida, North Carolina and Texas 3 states, 82 electoral votes.

No doubt, things will change in the coming weeks and months, so I will make many changes before election day.

Sweep!!! Time to move on.

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Wednesday March 16, 2016 · 6:05 AM PDT

2016/03/16 · 06:05

Now that Hillary Clinton is 99% certain to be the Democratic nominee by virtue of her sweep yesterday, it’s time to look forward and pivot to the general election and comes out guns a blazin’ against your enemy and mine, Donald J Dumpf. We’ve already seen what kind of campaign Dumpf is going to run, wholly negative, insulting, degrading, dehumanizing and the attacks on Hillary will not be any different. Dumpf only knows one way, and that’s gutter politics. Hillary’s stragedy must be two-fold. 1, Keep on message, positive, upbeat, contrast your positions with Dumpf, and 2, defend yourself against the incessant attacks that are sure to come, not only from Dumpf, but also the conservative media. Also, we in the progressive movement MUST be ready to help her by countering all the misinformation coming from the GOP.

Hillary’s speech last night hit all the themes that are essential to her winning in November. Keeping the economy rolling, while also keeping us safe from threats around the world. Her experience in both foreign and domestic policy, and the way Washington works, will help her immeasurably as the campaign goes on. Dumpf has no clue about anything related to politics and Hillary has a great opportunity to pin him down on a number of things he’s just not qualified to do.

I supported Hillary Clinton in 2008, and was very disappointed that she lost. I was happy to support Barack Obama in the end, and he has been a great president, but now it’s Hillary’s time. Time to pivot away from the campaign against Bernie, who has been nothing short of fantastic in his own right, and start concentrating on November. We have an election to win, starting now!!!

My electoral college map as of 9/20

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Thursday September 20, 2012 · 1:52 PM PDT

2012/09/20 · 13:52

Time once again to give out my electoral college map, which shows President Obama even further into the lead since my last post. Here are the states and numbers.

Obama states; Maine, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, Pennsylvania, Delaware, New Jersey, Maryland, DC, Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Washington, Oregon, California, and Hawaii. 25 states plus DC, 328 electoral votes

Romney states; Alaska, Idaho, Utah, Arizona, Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Missouri,, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, South Carolina, West Virginia. 23 states, 191 electoral votes

Tossup states; North Carolina and New Hampshire. 2 states, 19 electoral votes

Changes from last time. Florida from tossup to leans Obama, North Carolina from leans Romney to tossup, New Hampshire from lean Obama to tossup.

Next update in October.

Poll

198 votes Show Results

President Obama's final electoral college numbers

198 votes Vote Now!

President Obama's final electoral college numbers

270-279

5 votes

280-289

8 votes

290-299

16 votes

300-310

61 votes

Over 310

108 votes

My electoral college map as of 7/16

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Monday July 16, 2012 · 11:17 AM PDT

2012/07/16 · 11:17

With Mitt Romney having a lousy couple of weeks, and Barack Obama's Bain attacks working, my electoral map has changed some since I last did it. As of today, Obama has a commanding lead, and I have only one true toss-up state, Florida. So without further ado, here is how I see the race.

Obama states; Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, DC, Ohio, Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Washington, Oregon, California and Hawaii. 25 states, plus DC. 303 electoral votes

Romney states; Alaska, Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, Arizona, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia, South Carolina, North Carolina. 24 states, 206 electoral votes.

Toss-up; Florida, 1 state, 29 electoral votes.

Agree/Disagree??

Poll

247 votes Show Results

Barack Obama's final electoral votes total

247 votes Vote Now!

Barack Obama's final electoral votes total

270-279

15 votes

280-289

29 votes

290-299

44 votes

300-309

70 votes

310 or over

89 votes

Another glaring FoxNews bias story

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Thursday June 21, 2012 · 6:59 AM PDT

2012/06/21 · 06:59

I know you all know about how the bias works at FoxNews, but here is one more that you can add to the mix. This morning Bill Hemmer reported on a new Quinnipiac poll from Florida. In his piece, he showed a poll that had Mitt Romney ahead of President Obama by 4% when it came to the handling of the economy. Hemmer described the poll had significant meaning seeing that Florida has 29 electoral votes in the upcoming election.

That would have been fine, if that was the whole story, but it's not. What FoxNews didn't tell their sheep they call listeners is that Obama actually leads Mitt Romney in their latest poll by 4%, and that Obama, not Romney would do a better job with middle class voters who rate the economy as their #1 issue.

Of course this is nothing new when it comes to FoxNews. They are excellent at giving you half a story, usually the half that has bad news for Obama. This is what the Democrats and the voters are up against this fall. Blatant bias from the right, lies, half truths, propaganda and just plain utter stupidity. We cannot allow the far right fringe to do this without responding. From now until the election, and beyond, this is a battle to reveal the lies of the right. Time to go to war!!!

My electoral college map as of 6/2

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Saturday June 02, 2012 · 9:06 PM PDT

2012/06/02 · 21:06

Time to update my electoral college map. I do have some changes to the map, not much, but a couple of changes. So here goes!!

Obama states; Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, Pennsylvania, Delaware, New Jersey, D.C., Maryland, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Virginia, New Mexico, California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii. 22 states, plus D.C. 264 electoral votes

Romney states; Alaska, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Utah, Arizona, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Arkansas, Missouri, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia. 22 states, 191 electoral votes.

Toss-ups; Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Colorado, Nevada, Iowa. 6 states, 83 electoral votes.

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