I'll explain, but first let's realize that our goal is to build a long lasting progressive infrastructure, and the most important political goal in the near future is to take the White House in 2008. Unfortunately, nearly all of the power is concentrated in the White House, and the Bush administration may well destroy more of our democratic institutions if challenged.
I've seen the new polls that only give the Dems a 4-7 point lead (Fuck you, John Kerry). The media narrative is shifting towards a Republican rally, and even though I STILL THINK DEMS WIN THE HOUSE BY A GOOD MARGIN, I'd like to explain why taking the house doesn't matter in the medium to long term.
If we consider these disparate factors-
Governorships, The Senate, The Economy, Ohio, Iraq, 2008, and Realignment- we'll see that taking the house isn't really a net gain or a net loss for the progressive movement. It will be a nice symbolic victory, but not strategically substantial.
(More on the flip, I'd love a rec).
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