A short diary for me, but let's just say I was pretty upset with the Ralph Lauren Olympic outfit debacle last Olympics. I don't know why he got the contract again, but he apparently hasn't learned...
Look at the promotional photo provided by Ralph Lauren...
Is that a 48-star flag? Where did they get a 48-star flag?
It's much closer then it was expected to be, but worth watching. 340 vote margin as I type this...
Sorry for the short diary, I need to wake up in 4 hours.
7:00 - Virginia - Tied
7:30 - North Carolina - Romney +1
7:30 - Ohio - Obama +4
8:00 - Florida - Romney +1
8:00 - New Hampshire - Obama +3
8:00 - Pennsylvania - Obama +4
9:00 - Colorado - Tied
9:00 - Minnesota - Obama +4
9:00 - Wisconsin - Obama +4
10:00 - Iowa (wave 1) Obama +3
10:00 - Nevada (wave 1) Obama +5
Some figures form Cincinnati.com are making the rounds showing very bad numbers for Obama.
But don't worry, it is a template with dummy numbers.
A Cincinnati.com front-page link to a chart with dummy data, created as a design template for election results, was inadvertently posted early Tuesday morning.
It purported to show early voting totals in Ohio counties. However, no votes have been counted yet – by law counting doesn't start until the polls close.
Cincinnati.com regrets the error.
...Campaign contributions. Paid by the campaigns, PACs, or SIGs.
$6 billion dollars will have been spent on this race when all is said and done. My prediction is that nothing will change. We may pickup a Senate seat or two, but that's about all we get for our billions.
If you live in a battleground state, your media is saturated with political ads. If you see an ad for Coke or Pepsi or a pig screaming "Weeeeee", enjoy it; because the next ten ads are going to suck.
So what can we do about it? I propose taxing all campaigns at a rate of 50% for all contributions. Sure, $3 billion dollars isn't that much (yes, I just said that), but put it towards our deficit if that's what you want. Most importantly, cut the number of ads that I have to suffer through. I just want these ads to end.
BTW... I'm in PA and have only been inundated with presidential ads for the last few days. I feel feel bad for you people in this years battlegrounds.
Below the orange thingy are the list of Rasmussen results from 2010 Senate races that I have deemed competitive looking only at Rasmussens numbers. Before looking at the data, I arbitrarily selected a 5% margin as what would define a close race. If I have the time, I'll go back and try this for the house and 2008. I do prefer the idea of using the 2010 race as a basis. It was considered a strong R year, one where R leaning pollsters should have outperformed.
The Romney campaign, after weeks of mis-steps, had decided it need to restructure. After carefully weighing the options, Mitt Romney himself suggested the solution. Bain Capital was brough in to help restructure and redirect the campaign.
As a first order of business, Bain has closed all of the campaign offices. In the 'new' economy, nearly all communications can be made via traditional mediums. This will save our campaign as much as $150 million which can be used much more efficiently. To better make use of these traditional mediums, we will be utilizing off-shore mailing and call centers. This unto itself will save us $50m, and has the additional advantage of certain tax subsidies. It will also free up our more talented campain officials, who will be utilize in other areas.
We have also chosen to cancel all campain events. All future events will be webcast. This will allow us to have larger audiences while saving another $42 million dollars. It will also limit any unscripted moments which could harm the campaign.
All low level staff will be let go. We appreciate your service, but at this time we need to focus on what has been working. We welcome you all to contribute to the campaign, as raising money has been working for us.
The Bain model will be executed throughout the campaign orginization, and the changes will be obvious and effective. Bain has done this many times before and this is what we are good at.
When asked by journalists how this is going to help Mitt Romney win the election, a Bain representative said "Mitt is losing either way, we intend to make this the most profitable campaign in the history of the country."
RealClearPolitics has posted numbers for today's Rasmussen numbers. Here you go, 10m early. Personally, I think the jump in the job approval number is the bigger news.
Obama (D) 46
Romney (R) 44
Obama (D) +2.0
President Obama Job Approval
My mother has been a Republican her whole life. In the run up to the Kerry-Bush election, I followed her around every day persistently attempting to secure her vote for John Kerry. I even dragged her to John Kerry's Scranton rally immediately following the convention. Of course, Kerry showed up a couple of hours late on a 95 degree day which was enough to kill my chance of a my mother voting Democratic that year.
This year, she liked two candidates... Rudy Giulani and Barack Obama. Don't ask why, that's just the way it is. In the meantime though, I had an opportunity to go issue at a time with her until she realized that she aligns more with the Democrats. She quickly realized that she hadn't been voting on issues. Before long, she had dropped Giuliani and was the most ardent Obama supporter I know, with perhaps the exception of myself.
Many of you have seen the daily Gallup which shows Obama up by 6%. What some don't know is that the Gallup is a rolling average of the three past days. While this helps to stabilize numbers and brings down the MOE, it takes longer for changes to show up. That said, you can do some number crunching to see what kind of numbers Obama has been putting in since the convention started.
I decided to take yesterdays average 45-44 favoring Obama, and see what type of numbers it would take to move them to todays showing of 48-42. The answer to my amazement is Obama:54 to McCain:38. Obama had a huge day of polling on Wednesday which means that people liked what they heard on Tuesday. Yes, Hillary helped, but we have a few more days of convention left and if the next couple of days poll like yesterday did, Obama may get that +16 bounce that the Republicans were talking about.
Before we can put any faith in this number, we will need to see if it is backed up by the second day of polling. But, if Obama's numbers come across this strong tomorrow, I'm gonna dance a jig. Oh and the Bounce will be official.
Oh yeah, I don't trust polls, but I do trust trends.
I know who many of you don't want as VP and it was just 6 weeks ago that I said I wouldn't vote for her if she somehow beat Obama in the primary.[I couldn't really vote for McCain, but I also knew she couldn't beat Obama] But I do think that selecting Clinton as a running mate may be among the best tickets. But if Obama were to take her, the party would need no time to unite.
Now I know Clinton supporters who won't vote for Obama, and I know Obama supporters who won't vote for Clinton; but I don't know any Clinton or Obama supporters who wouldn't support that ticket.
With the record primary turnouts, fund raising, voter affiliation for the Democrats, it really is our party's contest to lose.
One brave individual, had the initiative to ask John McCain about his past comments about his wife... The Exchange...
PARRISH: This question goes to mental health and mental health care. Previously, I’ve been married to a woman that was verbally abusive to me. Is it true that you called your wife a (expletive)?
MCCAIN: Now, now. You don’t want to ... Um, you know that’s the great thing about town hall meetings, sir, but we really don’t, there’s people here who don’t respect that kind of language. So I’ll move on to the next questioner in the back.
The audience gasped at the question and applauded at McCain’s handling of it. Parrish was escorted from the event and questioned by Secret Service, but not charged. Parrish had checked in to the event as a member of the press.