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Kansas City Chiefs (9-0)

Everything you’ve read about the Chiefs’ schedule to date is true.  KC has faced the lightest schedule of any team in the NFL; none of its nine previous opponents rank in my top ten.  That said, it’s always impressive to win nine out of nine, even if those wins included squeakers by 1, 1, and 6 points.

The Chiefs have their bye this week, but then the schedule turns challenging in a hurry with two games in three weeks against Denver.  This is an interesting matchup; the Chiefs’ unimpressive offense and stout defense against the Broncos’ high-scoring offense and suspect defense.  The schedule also includes two games against the dangerous Chargers and one against the Colts.

(Continued below the fold.  Figure in parentheses are the likelihood of winning that game based on prior data.)

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Ohio Secretary of State Jon Husted certified the final totals this afternoon.

Barack Obama (D) - 2,827,621 (50.67%)
Mitt Romney (R) - 2,661,407 (47.69% - there's that 47% figure again)
Other - 91,794 (1.64%)
Total - 5,580,822
Margin - Obama by 166,214 (2.98% - I was expecting 3.1 or 3.2)

U.S. Senate
Sherrod Brown (D) - 2,762,690 (50.70%)
Josh Mandel (R) - 2,435,712 (44.70%)
Scott Rupert (I) - 250,616 (4.60%)
Total - 5,449,018
Margin - Brown by 326,978 (6.00%)

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Most Ohio county boards of elections have reported final results from the November 6 general election, so it’s a good time to look at the impact provisional and absentee ballots not included in the preliminary results had in Ohio’s urban counties.  The preliminary figures are still available on the Ohio Secretary of State’s web site.

The following tables include the preliminary totals, the additional votes not included in the preliminary totals, and the final totals for eight of Ohio’s ten most populous counties.  Mahoning County (ranked tenth in population) is not included because its Board of Elections has not yet posted final results.  Butler County (ranked eighth) is not included because it is a suburban, rather than urban, county.  The Cincinnati suburbs (Butler, Warren, and Clermont Counties) form the largest bastion of Republican support in the state.  Figures are Obama vote – Obama percent – Romney vote – Romney percent – Total vote.

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Sat Nov 10, 2012 at 09:42 AM PST

For my money, the best news of all...

by KTinOhio

Buried in all the good news for young Americans, female Americans, Latino Americans, African Americans, and almost every sort of American except for old white male conservative Americans, comes the following article from the New York Times...


Christian conservatives, for more than two decades a pivotal force in American politics, are grappling with Election Day results that repudiated their influence and suggested that the cultural tide — especially on gay issues — has shifted against them.

More below the orange flourish.

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Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 01:40 PM PST

Good news from Big Sky Country

by KTinOhio

Not sure why this hasn't been reported ... it's not as if telegraph lines haven't reached Montana yet.

Montana Initiative 166, which strikes down the wrongheaded notion of "corporate personhood" and prohibits corporate campaign contributions in the state, is leading 63-37 and is all but certain to pass.

"Ballot initiative I-166 establishes a state policy that corporations are not entitled to constitutional rights because they are not human beings, and charges Montana elected and appointed officials, state and federal, to implement that policy. With this policy, the people of Montana establish that there should be a level playing field in campaign spending, in part by prohibiting corporate campaign contributions and expenditures and by limiting political spending in elections. Further, Montana’s congressional delegation is charged with proposing a joint resolution offering an amendment to the United States Constitution establishing that corporations are not human beings entitled to constitutional rights."


Wed Jun 29, 2011 at 10:00 AM PDT

Million Signature March

by KTinOhio

Petitions containing nearly 1.3 million signatures of Ohio voters favoring the repeal of Senate Bill 5 were delivered to the office of Secretary of State Jon Husted about an hour ago.  A parade of roughly 6,000 people accompanied the truck containing the over 1,500 boxes of petitions.

To put the numbers in perspective:

Signatures turned in today:  1,298,301.

Previous record for a statewide petition:  812,978, for a 2008 casino issue that failed in November.  Today's total beat the old record by nearly 60 percent.

State population (2010 Census):  11,536,504.  Over 11 percent of the state's population signed the petitions.

Total votes cast in last year's Ohio gubernatorial election:  3,852,469.

SB5 is now prevented from taking effect until after the November election, and if today's totals are any indication, we may have seen the last of it.


Thu Jun 23, 2011 at 07:16 AM PDT

Voter Suppression - Serious Question

by KTinOhio

Ohio is one of a number of states in which Republicans are pushing laws requiring photo ID at the polls.  Ignoring the philosophical problems with placing additional obstacles in front of any potential voter, is there any empirical reason to believe that voter ID laws will have a measurable impact on election results?  There are actually two questions here; (1) how likely are people impacted by the proposed restrictions likely to vote in the absence of such restrictions, and (2) how often will the potential absence of these votes make a difference?

I'm not sure if this is the appropriate forum for questions like this, or if not, what the appropriate forum would be.  In any case, I am hoping that there is enough first-hand knowledge in the Kos community to shed light on my question.


On Tuesday at noon, President Obama will address the nation's schoolchildren and deliver a message that, on its face, should be non-objectionable to people at all points on the political spectrum; that students should work hard and stay in school.  Unfortunately, in this age of Limbaugh, Beck, Coulter, and Fox News, some people reacted by deluging their districts with calls and e-mails demanding that the speech not be shown.  My district provides an interesting case study.

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 at 08:44 AM PDT

Moral leadership in a budget crisis

by KTinOhio

As is true in all states, Ohio's budget must balance.  Due to the economic downturn (which shredded even pessimistic revenue projections from earlier this year) and tax reductions passed earlier this decade, Ohio faces a $3.2 billion gap in the budget for the next biennium, which begins less than a week from now.  Strategies to plug the gap include placing slot machines at the state's race tracks, borrowing from the state employees' pension fund, reduction of the state's contribution to state employees' retirement, and draconian cuts to libraries, health care, preschool education, and other items.

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According to CNN - whose numbers also appear in Kos' election results tracker - Republican Steve Stivers holds a commanding twelve-thousand-vote lead over Democrat Mary Jo Kilroy in the hotly contested race for the right to represent Ohio District 15 in Congress.  These figures are incorrect; Stivers' lead is less than 3% of that reported by CNN.

District 15 includes over half of Franklin County, including most of the city of Columbus.  Unfortunately - for Democrats, anyway - it also includes all of largely rural Madison and Union Counties, located west of Columbus.  Madison and Union account for only 10-15% of the district's population, but those votes have proved crucial in the past.  Two years ago, Kilroy defeated Deborah Pryce in the Franklin County portion of the district, but lost overwhelmingly in Madison and Union.  Pryce eked out the win by 1,062 votes out of over 220,000 cast.

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Thu Jun 14, 2007 at 10:22 PM PDT


by KTinOhio

[From the Columbus Dispatch, June 14, 2007]

Armbruster abused office, ethics probe finds
Ex-senator should face prosecution, report says

Former state Sen. Jeffry Armbruster abused his office by mixing legislative business with efforts to reduce workers' compensation rates for his own company, the Joint Legislative Ethics Commission said today.

In what Armbruster's attorney Donald Brey called a completely unjustified decision, the bipartisan 12-member committee sent a report to Franklin County Prosecutor Ron O'Brien saying the Ridgeville Republican violated Ohio ethics law in early 2006. It was the first time in its history that the ethics panel has referred a lawmaker (or former legislator) for prosecution.

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Tom Noe, the Toledo-area coin dealer who embezzled over a fourth of the $50 million rare-coin fund he managed for the Ohio Bureau of Workers' Compensation, was sentenced to eighteen years in prison this morning.  Noe will begin serving his sentence after he finishes a 27-month federal sentence for illegally funneling over $45K to George W. Bush's reelection campaign.

From the Columbus Dispatch:


Was justice done in the case of Tom Noe?

54%24 votes
40%18 votes
4%2 votes

| 44 votes | Vote | Results

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