Turnout Report Arlington VA Precinct 31 8:10 am

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Tuesday November 08, 2016 · 6:22 AM PST

2016/11/08 · 06:22

I haven't posted in 4 years, since my last turnout report. Last time I voted at 6:00 having got in line at 5:27 am. This year I voted at 8:10 am To my surprise, there was absolutely no line. Not a soul! I asked the poll worker where everyone was….he said it was super busy early and I was the 432nd person to vote. I looked at my prior turnout reports and I've voted in the mornings but at different times so it is hard to compare In 2006, I was about 300-350 to vote at 7:00 am. So turnout seems comparable to then, but note that early absentee voting is way up (27%) over 2012 in Arlington. So it seems us Arlingtonians are just as enthusiastic to bote as ever….no drop off here.

Virginia Results - Some Precincts

VaAntirepublican

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Tuesday November 06, 2012 · 5:32 PM PST

2012/11/06 · 17:32

I'm using the Virginia State Board of elections website to compare precincts from the 2008 and 2012 elections to get insight into the Virginia results.

First, here's a few counties at 100%:

Fauquier County
2008 - Obama 14,616 McCain 19,227
2012 - Obama 14,873 Romney 22,399 Net 2,915 votes for Romney

Franklin City
2008 - Obama 2,819 McCain 1,576
2012 - Obama 2,830 Romney 1,496 Net 91 votes for Obama

Fredericksburg City
2008 - Obama 6155 McCain 3413
2012 - Obama 7114 Romney 4054 Net 318 votes for Obama

Follow me after the jump

VaAntirepublican

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Tuesday November 06, 2012 · 3:50 AM PST

2012/11/06 · 03:50

So last few times I have voted in person, I have provided a turnout report for my dark blue precinct in Arlington, Virginia. If you don't live in Arlington, Virginia, you are missing out. It's the best place in the country to live!

In 2008, our precinct went 68% for Obama, 31% for McCain. (1497 total votes)
In 2004, our precinct went 68% for Kerry, 31% for Bush (1885 total votes)

(The turnout numbers aren't weird: There were about 34,000 absentee votes in Arlington in 2008, versus about 12,000 in 2004. Obama won the absentees by a much huger margin than Kerry did, as well).

Turnout report after the jump

VaAntirepublican

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Sunday December 11, 2011 · 7:23 AM PST

2011/12/11 · 07:23

It's shocking how out of touch One Percenter Mitt Romney is that he would bet $10,000 at a public debate. $10,000 is a huge amount of money for most Americans - and most Americans will likely never have $10,000 laying around to make bets with.

$10,000 goes a long way...here are some examples after the jump.

VaAntirepublican

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Tuesday November 02, 2010 · 4:59 AM PDT

2010/11/02 · 04:59

Ugh. I wish I had better news to report, but voter turnout in this heavily Democratic precinct (85-15 Democratic vote) was ultra light as of 6:30 a.m. today. I had NO wait to vote today at 6:30 a.m.

Needless to say, this compares HIGHLY unfavorably to recent elections.

More on the flip.

VaAntirepublican

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Sunday March 16, 2008 · 2:32 PM PDT

2008/03/16 · 14:32

I did some analysis this week on the issue of the popular vote breakdown between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in all kinds of states, to see if there is any validity to Hillary Clinton's arguments concerning the relative merits of Hillary v. Obama in the states that Democrats need to win in November.

I have divided the states up into two initial categories: Blue States (states that went for Kerry in 2004) and Red States (states that went for Bush in 2004). I then selected a set of Purple States, which were battleground states in 2004: Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Ohio, Missouri, and New Mexico.

For all these states, I used the popular vote count available on Real Clear Politics. Note - there HAVE BEEN NO RELEASED POPULAR VOTE COUNTS from Nevada, Iowa, Maine and Washington State, all of which are purple states. Given what we know about turnout, it's likely that these three states would probably net Obama additional popular vote (although I'm unclear on how much).

The results are that Senator Obama has won every category of state, Red, Blue and Purple. Analysis after the flip.

VaAntirepublican

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Saturday March 08, 2008 · 8:33 AM PST

2008/03/08 · 08:33

At the risk of beating a dead horse, [insult removed], Wolfson's slur of Obama "acting like Ken Starr" is every bit as bad and likely worse than Samatha Powers' "monster" comment.

How do I know that? James Carville told me. More after the flip.

VaAntirepublican

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Saturday February 23, 2008 · 4:54 PM PST

2008/02/23 · 16:54

I, as a strong Obama supporter, also had a strong reaction to Hillary's very negative attacks on Senator Obama that are the subject of numerous diaries, including Delaware Dem's and Georgia10's. I was upset that she was waiving his mailer and calling down shame upon him for his response to her health care plan. And I, too, had thoughts of "well, I'm just not going to vote for Hillary in the fall if she is so intent on grabbing power that she'll viciously attack my preferred candidate, who is probably the only politician that has inspired me in my lifetime.

But then, like a flash, I realized what her attack was, and I wasn't so angry any more. I won't be saying that I won't vote for Hillary in the fall. Because Hillary won't be the nominee in the fall. This is just her death rattle.

(I would say that it is her last throes, but Dick Cheney has made that a singularly unpredictive phrase).

Turnout in My Precinct

27 votes Vote Now!

Turnout in My Precinct

Was lighter than the 2006 general election

8 votes

Was heavier than the 2006 general election

9 votes

Pie

10 votes

Keith, you f'ed up - [updated] I take it back, you da man!

VaAntirepublican

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Tuesday January 22, 2008 · 5:25 PM PST

2008/01/22 · 17:25

Watching Keith Olbermann on Countdown tonight, he made an important slip. In discussing Hillary's attacks on Obama with Howard Fineman, he conceded that Obama's reference to Reagan as a transformative figure was not a blanket endorsement of Reagan's policies. Howard Fineman did a good job of defending Obama...but then Keith f'ed up.

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Turnout Report Arlington VA Precinct 31 8:10 am

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Turnout Report, 6:30 am Arlington VA Precinct 31

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Red State Blue State Purple State Popular Vote

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Turnout Report, 7 am Arlington Precinct 31

Keith, you f'ed up - [updated] I take it back, you da man!