Skip to main content


Not going to add a lot of editorial content here, but this hasn't been diaried and I thought it should be. WH just released statement, and I have to say I'm pleased. Easily the strongest statement yet. I like that it lays down a clear set of reforms that must be undertaken for reform to be "meaningful." Anyway, below is the text.

Continue Reading

I heard rumors about this earlier, but i guess this is really going to happen, according to the Salt Lake Tribune. Utah Governor Jon Huntsman is going to be named and accept the ambassadorship to China

Continue Reading

Fri Mar 20, 2009 at 10:14 PM PDT

The Geithner Plan, explained

by Ben P

Having received information tonight in the form of NY Times and a Wall Street Journal articles (actually, here, the Journal article is MUCH better), I am finally beginning to get a sense of what the administration is trying to do in terms of its financial plan. And it is actually not as bad as I feared and has a chance of being fairly successful. However, I don't think it is certain to work by any means and quite bad outcomes are still possible.

Continue Reading

Short diary with some rather important information: I'm surprised more people didn't pick up on this. But Gallup just released a poll where support for the stimulus increased to 59% from 52% last week. I'm guessing Obama's news conference had a positive effect. According to the write up, most of the new support comes from Democrats, which is interesting (not particularly sure why). Opposition to the stimulus is now 33%, down from 38% last week. I sense the tide has turned.

Here's the Link

Discuss

Sat Nov 01, 2008 at 04:44 PM PDT

CBS Final Poll: Obama 54, McCain 41

by Ben P

Short and sweet. This hasn't been diaried yet, but it should be. Obama leads McCain amongs LVs 54-41. I don't know about that Zogby one day sample. But this simply cannot be squared. This represents a gain since the poll released on Thursday. It also adds to the conclusion that Obama is steady or gaining in every national poll except Zogby. Granted this poll has always had a Dem lean. But nevertheless, it'll add to the "poll of  polls" final average if nothing. Something to cheer you up on Saturday night if nothing else.

Discuss

Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 03:48 PM PDT

New SUSA Polls: WI, IA, SC - good news

by Ben P

Another poll diary, some good news for Obama. I suppose none of these are "swing states," but I guess there was still an outside shot McCain might be competing in Iowa. Basically, SUSA - a strong pollster, top-rated by Nate at 538 - has Obama blow outs in Iowa and Wisconsin. And in South Carolina, Obama is behind by a respectable margin:

Iowa: Obama 55, McCain 40
Wisconsin: Obama 55, McCain 39
South Carolina: McCain 52, Obama 44

Added bonus - Obama is blowing McCain out in early voting in Iowa.

Discuss

Quick diary. BTW, this is NOT the Suffolk poll that was released earlier today and showed Obama also with a 49 to 44 lead. This is another Florida poll, and the fourth one today showing Obama with a decent lead (3 to 5 points: Zogby, Rasmussen, Datamar, Suffolk). It appears Obama has made something of a comeback in the state starting at the end of last week. This poll was conducted on October 25 and October 26 so the data is fresh. Compared to the last Datamar Florida poll, released on October 13, this represents no change in the margin (that poll had Obama at 47 and McCain at 42), the only difference with this poll is that the number of undecideds is down to 3% of the sample. Anyway here's the link.

I should emphasize. THREE Florida polls have been released today, ALL showing Obama with a decent lead. Rasmussen, 51 - 47, Suffolk, 49 - 44, Datamar, 49 - 44

Also: as to this poll's internals, they're not especially favorable for Obama. Partisan breakdown, 43 D, 41 R; 12 African American. Interesting is that it also breaks down Latinos by ethnicity, although a majority don't identify themselves as Cuban or Mexican (or otherwise). Also strikes me that this poll is slightly undersampling Latinos.

Discuss

Not a big diary here, but this poll has now been out for several hours and no one has yet posted a diary on it. I thought it deserved one. Anyway, the PPP poll gives Obama a nice lead - really a great lead considering this state went for Bush in 2000 and 2004 and Bill Clinton never even carried it. It also suggests that Obama has maintained his position, even improved upon it, as the last poll pegged Obama at 51 and McCain at 43. And of course, if Obama wins Virginia, he wins the election.

Here is the Link.

Discuss

I don't how many of you know about Strategic Vision, but it is a GOP pollster that is notorious for releasing polls that show the result more favorable to the GOP than other public polling. However, even SV is now showing what is becoming obvious, as today we get this: Obama 54, McCain 40. That PA is not a swing state and actually is on track to post an Obama win that will be larger than in a number of traditional blue states. My original home state will likely post a higher Obama margin on election day than my adopted "blue" state of Washington.

Continue Reading

New poll out from Elon College in NC. Yet another North Carolina poll with Obama in the lead. By this point, I think NC must be considered a real pick up opportunity. I still think McCain nicks it in the end - if you push me on who I think will win it - but it certainly going to be MUCH closer than in '04 or '00. I don't even think Bill Clinton ever won this state. So however you slice it North Carolina has become a VERY nice surprise for Obama - McCain is going to have to eventually recognize the reality and divert some resources to defend it.

Discuss

Don't shoot the messenger. A new poll coming out in tomorrow's USA Today has McCain up 54 to 44 amongst LVs, 50 to 46 amongst RV. Here's the link

Continue Reading

Via Via Rasmussen

Obama 49, McCain 36
Clinton 43, McCain 41

 

Continue Reading
You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.

RSS

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site