Alan Grayson, 2010 and smart fundraising.

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Thursday October 01, 2009 · 1:08 PM PDT

2009/10/01 · 13:08

Let me begin by saying that I agree with nearly everything that Congressman Grayson said and agree particularly with his comments that House Republicans are Neanderthals. I agree that someone who stands up and defines the Republican House Caucus for exactly what they are is an incredibly valuable thing.

But at the same time I worry about campaign giving which depends almost completely on emotional response and which then leaves the donor nearly powerless over what happens to that money and which does nothing to solve what at this moment is the Democrats current biggest problem when it comes to the 2010. It is also important to look into the facts which surround every race, from the money dumped on Congressman Grayson, or Rob Miller who is challenging Joe Wilson in South Carolina’s second district.

Poll

27 votes Show Results

Should Congressman Grayson heed my call?

27 votes Vote Now!

Should Congressman Grayson heed my call?

Yes, Share the Wealth

7 votes

No, We wanted him to keep it.

10 votes

Regardless, it is George Bush's fault.

10 votes

Clinton needs a double coup [MI and FL, and SD's]

democraticavenger

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Friday May 09, 2008 · 3:57 AM PDT

2008/05/09 · 03:57

I have been watching cable news more than I could possible care to in recent days and all of it seems to exist in a void , that while declaring the race over, fail to explain properly why the race is over. This includes talking about MI and FL as if Clinton's hope really rested on these two states. It simply does not, Senator Clinton needs both FL/MI and Super Delegate Coup, not one but both.

democraticavenger

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Monday February 04, 2008 · 11:10 PM PST

2008/02/04 · 23:10

So I felt it was important to test my prediction skills by making a final delegate prediction. I am predicting Barack Obama by 28 delegates 853-825

The state by breakdown follows the jump.

democraticavenger

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Saturday January 19, 2008 · 2:48 PM PST

2008/01/19 · 14:48

I am sure there are a lot of happy people in Clinton land today, as well there should be, but a quick reading of the exit poll should show some sign of concern for the Clinton Camp. What we really saw of the establishment of the coalition along which the camp will be fought, to coalition which at the outset seem very evenly matched.

democraticavenger

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Monday January 14, 2008 · 10:12 AM PST

2008/01/14 · 10:12

Senator Obama and Senator Clinton are two- evenly matched candidates with two evenly matched coalitions and the Democratic Party in its wisdom or folly rewards delegates proportionally and not in a winner take all manner. This means that candidates who are evenly matched will likely contiune to fight out over a very long process. Lets begin by looking at the delegate selection plan for the three delegations that all vote on Feb 5th and have the largest of all delegations at the convention[Texas may be bigger than Illinios I am not sure.] Based on a quick study of these three states it is likely the Democratic race has to go be beyond Feb 5th.

democraticavenger

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Monday December 10, 2007 · 9:20 AM PST

2007/12/10 · 09:20

I sometimes wonder what the Netroots actually wants from the Democratic Congress except to complain about it. KOS on the FrontPage today is a fine illustration.
http://www.dailykos.com/...
First attacking, Domestic Spending as "pork" is a rightwing frame that damages us, but second and more importantly what should Democratic Congressional Leaders do. Telling them, not to sell out, or to stand tough or not another penny, none of this is nearly specific enough. By the End of Year, Congress must pass 11 appropriations bills to keep funding the federal government, President Bush has threatened to Veto any bill that increases spending or which gives any time table for withdrawal from Iraq, based on his SCHIP veto, the politics of it exactly are not that important and House Republicans still seem to have the President’s back to a point where overriding is not an option.

democraticavenger

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Saturday November 10, 2007 · 11:22 AM PST

2007/11/10 · 11:22

A long time ago, in a galaxy far away, Jerome Armstrong called for a goal of Democrats putting up 80 House Challengers a cycle:
http://www.mydd.com/...
With the Democratic take over the House and a net gain of 30 seats, the number of seats available to challenge has shrunk, however. I believe we can still try to get to 80 Districts that can and should be challenged. What is more is that this is symbolic because it places more than a third of the House Republicans in jeopardy and limits there purely safe members to a grow not large enough to sustain a veto.
More House seats is important if we wish to see the type of agenda we all want passed, We need both more seats and the political momentum that comes with the perceived mandate. Fortunately we are already blessed with roughly 60 very qualified House Candidates.
Over the Jump, I break down the Four Categories of Republican House Members and their relative number and list the challengers in each category. I will also then break down what the conventional wisdom is currently saying about House Races and where it is important we get out in front of conventional wisdom.

democraticavenger

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Sunday November 04, 2007 · 8:56 AM PST

2007/11/04 · 08:56

There are some fundamental things that are needed to have any understanding of national polling or else you will be caught talking about things in way that make no sense. This is the trap that www.Hillaryhub.com is currently spinning, arguing furiously that the New Washington Post-ABC News poll is good news for her campaign, when it is at best neutral and actually probably bad. All information can be found at http://www.realclearpolitics.com/...

The only real way to measure polling is not across different surveys but when surveys are done over a period of time to track the trend within the polls. Last Month at the very same time the Washington ABC-Post Poll showed Hillary Clinton ahead by a whopping 33 points, 53-20, her largest margin to date in any survey. This month that lead has shrunk, from 33 points, to now 49-26 or 23 points. That is of course is still a sizable lead but it is going in the wrong direction.

democraticavenger

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Wednesday October 31, 2007 · 12:56 PM PDT

2007/10/31 · 12:56

So I have been somewhat closely following the Mississippi Governor race from my dorm room in Washington D.C. and there is a part of me that says Democratic John Eaves Junior has a real shot at the race on Tuesday. As far as I can tell there is no Public polling in this race. So it is all mostly guess work. Follow me for the guess work

democraticavenger

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Tuesday October 30, 2007 · 10:25 AM PDT

2007/10/30 · 10:25

As has been said often throughout history, the perfect is the enemy of the good, or in this case. The perfect is in the enemy of the great. Barack Obama and his campaign are by no means perfect, and yet they represent the closest thing this country has come to a Strong Progressive President since RFK was gunned down on that cruel June night in Los Angeles. That so many Progressives are currently failing to see the historic chance and finding every reason in the world to oppose it this is frankly shocking. I for one find the attacks astounding and sad, as well as universal surrender to the Clinton Political Machine, which while having the potential to pass many positive pieces of legislation and the ability to appoint positive Supreme Court Justice, does not have the ability to win over the whole country as so many ears are already closed to her, and worse still with the Clinton Machine comes simply old ways of thinking. With Barack Obama we get something different and special, if Progressives turn down that chance because of our quest for perfection, we are all indeed truly lost.

democraticavenger

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Tuesday October 16, 2007 · 9:24 PM PDT

2007/10/16 · 21:24

So, we won in Massachusetts 5, maybe by not as much as we would have wanted but still a very sizable victory. The NRCC, rather than moving on from what should have been on ok we lost situation, is attempting to turn this into their Paul Hackett moment. Their MEMO is here, http://www.nrcc.org/... I won't bore you with most of it, however I think the bottomline issue is clear, Niki Tsongas got Deval Patrick's performance. So while we all wished that every open seat race breaks at or better than Kerry performance: assuming such performance is insane . On the jump will be a town by town breakdown but again the bottom line is this a normal MA 5th result and not one that should cause Democrats to lose one bit of sleep and Republican spin here is nothing but that total spin.

democraticavenger

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Monday October 08, 2007 · 3:24 PM PDT

2007/10/08 · 15:24

There has been much discussion in the netroots recently about the potential power of the Youth Vote in Iowa, or its lack of power. While I clearly have a side in all this. My most important side is the truth. There is much discussion about the potential of Youth of Vote. This diary is about an actual example of undisputed Youth Power. Congressman Joe Courtney would not be a Congressman today were it not for the power of Youth Vote at the University of Connecticut. I was not a part of the effort to turnout Young Voters on the Uconn Stores Campus but the numbers speak for themselves.

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Alan Grayson, 2010 and smart fundraising.

Clinton needs a double coup [MI and FL, and SD's]

Obama by 28 Delegates

Both Obama and Clinton coalitions showed through today.

Why Feb 5th is the beginning not the end of the Presidential race.

Shut down the Government to stop the War?

Re-Launching an old Goal of 80 House Challengers

Clinton Lost Ten points off her lead in a month.

A Mississippi Gov Surprise ?

Obama and his Critics

The NRCC's MA 5 Delusion

Congressman Courtney D-Youth Vote.