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Good morning, everybody. Hope this finds you well.
3 days left. Can you believe it? This election season seems to have lasted forever. This is the last weekend before E-day. The last Saturday before election day. Quick reminder that tonight the clocks will be set back an hour in most states.
Ok, let’s get right to it:
Index
1. Ohio: A Hip-Hop Political Rally, Starring Beyoncé, Jay Z (and Hillary Clinton)
2. State of the race, as per national and state polls
3. Nevada is looking golden
4. Rolling Stone: This Election Is Being Rigged – But Not by Hillary Clinton
5. Big Endorsement: The Guardian view on the US election: Hillary Clinton is the world’s best hope
6. Last labor report punctuates historic job growth, may propel Clinton across finish line
7. ‘West Wing’ turns left in Florida
8. Hillary Clinton Issues Position Paper on Greek Issues; Pushes for Debt Relief for Greece
9. Oregon woman, 90, died happy after voting for Hillary Clinton, son says
10. For women, defeating Trump is a message to men who behave like he does
11. Black women will not be deterred by the GOP’s voter suppression
1. Ohio: A Hip-Hop Political Rally, Starring Beyoncé, Jay Z (and Hillary Clinton)
Hillary held a rally in Ohio, and had a lot of help bring the point across.
New York Times:
Big Names Campaigning for Hillary Clinton Underscore Donald Trump’s Isolation
Hillary Clinton campaigned Friday in the company of friends and celebrities, first flanked by the billionaire businessman Mark Cuban in Pittsburgh and Detroit, and then at a concert in Cleveland with Jay Z and Beyoncé. High-wattage political leaders fanned out for her around the country: Her husband, Bill, stumped in Colorado, as President Obama rallied voters in North Carolina.
By comparison, Donald J. Trump was a lonely figure.
In the final days of the presidential race, Mr. Trump’s political isolation has made for an unusual spectacle on the campaign trail — and perhaps a limiting factor in his dogged comeback bid.
Trump is toxic to most but his whipped up followers.
Hillary’s campaign is pulling out all the stops, leaving it all on the floor:
Her husband, Bill, stumped in Colorado, as President Obama rallied voters in North Carolina.
Mrs. Clinton also had Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. campaigning in Wisconsin and Senator Bernie Sanders in Iowa on Friday. And after her appearance with Jay Z in Cleveland, Mrs. Clinton was due in Philadelphia on Saturday for a concert with Katy Perry and Stevie Wonder, and then back in Ohio with LeBron James, the Cleveland Cavaliers star. Her schedule culminates on Monday in what may be the biggest event of her campaign since the convention: an election-eve rally in the city with her husband, Mr. Obama and his wife, Michelle.
All the hard work will be rewarded on Tuesday with a well deserved win for Hillary.
Meanwhile, massive clouds over Trump’s forlorn bid:
Mr. Trump’s surrogate operation took another blow on Friday with the conviction of two former associates of Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey for engineering a plot to snarl traffic on the George Washington Bridge. Mr. Christie, a Trump ally who has been leading his presidential transition team, was scheduled to campaign for Mr. Trump in New Hampshire over the weekend.
Mrs. Clinton’s campaign quickly seized on the convictions to try to embarrass Mr. Trump. Wryly invoking one of Mr. Trump’s signature lines, John D. Podesta, the campaign chairman, told reporters that Mr. Trump ought to “start by draining his own swamp and asking Mr. Christie to resign as the head of his transition.”
And certain leaders on the right who have given Mr. Trump their nominal backing have steered clear of appearing with him in public — or even uttering his name. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, a former rival of Mr. Trump who campaigned this week in Iowa with Gov. Mike Pence of Indiana, Mr. Trump’s running mate, praised Mr. Pence warmly but declined to mention Mr. Trump.
(Paul) Ryan asked voters on Friday, forcefully and repeatedly, to support Senator Ron Johnson, the state’s embattled incumbent, he mentioned Mr. Trump only once and in passing.
LOVE TRUMPS HATE!!!
2. State of the race, as per national and state polls
With 3 days to go, let’s take a look where the race stands in the polls, nationally and in Florida. Florida, since it is the pivotal state. If Hillary wins Florida, and its 29 EC votes, and the race is won.
It usually makes the most sense to look at aggregates, because polls will fluctuate some depending on screen used, who the pollster believes will turn out, etc.
National
As of right now, in the aggregate, Hillary leads by a margin of 5.5%. This race has been remarkably stable, overall, throughout the season, since about mid-September.
STATES
Let’s start with the biggest battleground prize of them all, and the most pivotal state. If Hillary wins Florida (and she certainly will) Hillary becomes President on Tuesday.
Here we see a persistent picture since around January of this year, a 2 to 3% race favoring Hillary throughout. Right now the margin in the aggregate is 2.5%.
The last 8 polls out of Florida see Hillary in the lead 7 times. Only Remington/Axiom shows as an outlier, and given that Remington/Axiom is Tred Cruz’ (and also Mike Huckabee’s and Rick Perry’s) house pollster, that poll should probably be taken with a grain of salt.
Regardless of what ultimately happens in NV, OH, IA, GA, AZ, and NH, if Florida is won by Hillary, the race is effectively over. So, it is. Not just because of the persistent poll leads we have been seeing, but the excellent early voting results we have been getting as well.
3. Nevada is looking golden
Enthusiasm? You want to see enthusiasm? Hour long waits at Cardenas Supermarket on the last day of early voting, insane lines. Basically, all these people are there for one reason: To vote for Hillary and dump Trump.
The Las Vegas Review Journal reports:
More than 57K Clark County voters cast ballots on final day of early voting
More than 57,000 Clark County voters had cast ballots as of 10 p.m. Friday, the final day of early voting in Nevada.
That number would likely increase into the night, said Dan Kulin, a county spokesman.
“This is the largest single-day, early voting turnout that we’ve seen,” Kulin said. The previous record was set in 2012, when 48,095 voted on the final day of early voting in the county, according to Nevada Secretary of State records.
A handful of polling locations were scheduled to close at 7 p.m., and others were open until 8 p.m. or 9 p.m. depending on location. But closing time didn’t mean a voting cutoff — people still in line when polls closed “will still be able to vote,” Kulin said Friday, and as of 10 p.m. a handful of valley locations still had long lines.
Insane. Records are meant to broken, sure, but this day was incredible.
About 685,000 Nevadans, or 47 percent of the state’s active registered voters, voted through the first 13 days of early voting this year in the state. In 2012, the raw number was 627,000 for the same period, but it accounted for 50 percent of that year’s active voters.
Thursday was another strong day for Democrats in Clark County. About 18,800 Democrats and 12,900 Republicans, as well as 10,200 third-party or independent voters, voted in the county.
That pushed the county Democrat vote lead to about 61,500.
According to the latest information gathered by Jon Ralston, the Democratic lead in Clark county has now been pushed past 72,000.
.
To wit, we are AHEAD of 2012 numbers in Nevada in Clark County, where 89% of Nevada lives. And, Obama won Nevada in 2012 comfortably. On Tuesday, election day, Trump would have to win Nevada by margins that are basically impossible to reach.
John Ralston, who is THE authority for Nevada politics, was having some fun with the GOP’s dismal fate in the state of NV:
4. Rolling Stone: This Election Is Being Rigged – But Not by Hillary Clinton
The election is rigged, alright. But it won’t help Trump.
This Election Is Being Rigged – But Not by Hillary Clinton
Those actually trying to manipulate the election outcome support the guy who keeps whining about election-rigging
Donald Trump established what's alleged to have been an entirely fraudulent "university." He has a hard-earned reputation for screwing over contractors and investors, a long history of hanging out with mobsters and has been named a defendant in 1,450 lawsuits. And yet he's dubbed his opponent, who's been subjected to dozens of investigations that all came up with bupkis, "Crooked Hillary." No candidate in history has taken projection to such remarkable lengths.
But an even more impressive example of projection can be found in Trump's constant claims that this election is being "rigged" for Hillary Clinton. There do seem to be a lot of actors trying to manipulate the outcome – or at least having that effect – but they're all lined up behind the guy who won't stop whining about election-rigging.
It's unclear whether WikiLeaks is actually in cahoots with the Russian government. But Reuters reported this week that U.S. intelligence officials are investigating "a campaign they believe is backed by the Russian government to undermine the credibility of the U.S. presidential election."
The article goes on to lay out, in detail, all the rigging that is going on to help Trump win. From Wikileak’s Assange to FBI’s Comey, from attempts to throw shade at the Clinton foundation to massive voter suppression efforts in Republican states. This is a well written and reasoned article that is well worth the read.
5. Big Endorsement: The Guardian view on the US election: Hillary Clinton is the world’s best hope
This article is an endorsement for Hillary and a complete rebuke (or shall we say repuke) of Donald Trump
The Guardian view on the US election: Hillary Clinton is the world’s best hope
The former secretary of state has the experience to tackle pressing challenges. A Donald Trump victory would be dangerous for everyone
The US election matters as much to the world as it does to Americans. The overriding reason is that an immense and present danger hangs over multilateralism and the notion of a rules-based global order. A Donald Trump victory would immediately make the world more worrying and unsettled than it already is. The US may no longer be seen as the world hegemon, whether benign or threatening, but it is still the single most important power. Its behaviour has unique potential to either make solutions possible or to add to areas of chaos. A Trump presidency would be bad for the US and dangerous for the world. A vote for Hillary Clinton is the most effective way of preventing it.
The world is watching. If we elect Trump we would be seen as a banana republic henceforth, following a quasi-dictator into a nightmare of Trumpish proportions. Alas, it won’t happen, so the Guardian will be pleased with Tuesday’s election. :-)
A Trump victory would severely damage US standing almost everywhere. His strongman antics are a liability, not an asset. They are as distressing as they are ridiculous. Believing a man-to-man approach with Vladimir Putin will instantly dissolve Russia’s aggressive revisionism reflects more ignorance than it does bravado. Mrs Clinton has a reputation for a hawkish outlook, but this will be tempered by war-weary public opinion in the US. She recognises that in the 21st century, US power has more chances of attaining goals if it acts inclusively, and not with go-it-alone reckless tactics. She has already applied much of this as secretary of state – playing a key role in the historic deal with Iran, in pushing a new relationship with Cuba and managing the complex US relationship with China. A Clinton presidency should rely on soft power in a smart way, a philosophy she touched upon in her Democratic convention speech this summer. She should pay close attention to climate change, development and working out fairer global trade arrangements. The US should also take the lead on international justice by signing up to the international criminal court – and Mrs Clinton has expressed “great regret” about Washington’s refusal to join.
Basically, from an international view, an election with a more stark contrast can’t be imagined. Hillary is the international hope for stability, and sanity.
US leadership has a key role to play. Mrs Clinton helped turn the page on the disastrous George W Bush era. The diplomatic accomplishments of the past eight years should not be minimised. Neither Mr Bush nor Mr Obama could have anticipated the crises that befell them once they reached office. How a president reacts matters greatly. On this count alone Mrs Clinton deserves to be elected.
6. Last labor report punctuates historic job growth, may propel Clinton across finish line
UPI:
Last labor report punctuates historic job growth, may propel Clinton across finish line
"Donald Trump suffers from a very serious disease called amnesia. He seems to have forgotten 8 years ago we were losing 800,000 jobs a month," Bernie Sanders said Friday.
The final look at the American labor market before Tuesday's election could give Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton an important boost as she crosses the finish line.
The U.S. Department of Labor released its October jobs report on Friday, which said 161,000 jobs were added for the month -- upping the grand total of non-government jobs created this decade to 15.5 million.
The Labor Department's top official said in a news release Friday, titled "October Jobs Report Shows How Far We've Come," said the report reflects the consistent and solid gains in the United States since the country emerged from the Great Recession that bit at the start of President Barack Obama's presidency.
Seems that Democratic Presidents always have to bail out Republican ones and right the economy.
"We are in the longest streak of overall job growth on record," Labor Secretary Tom Perez said in a statement, also noting that the unemployment rate has also fallen below the 5 percent-mark.
"Americans have been waiting for a meaningful raise for too long, and today's report confirms what we've seen over the last year -- that they are getting one," he added. "Wages are up 2.8 percent over the last 12 months, the largest increase since the Great Recession, and the current pace of wage growth is even faster."
7. ‘West Wing’ turns left in Florida
North West Florida Daily News:
'West Wing' turns left in Florida
FORT WALTON BEACH — In the Republican-leaning Panhandle, Okaloosa Democrats need all the help they can get canvassing for presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.
Earlier this week they had a few extra sets of hands and some star power, as “The West Wing” actor Richard Schiff and his wife, actress Sheila Kelley, canvassed Panama City and Fort Walton Beach with the grass-roots organization Arkansas Travelers.
The Arkansas Travelers began in 1992, when longtime friends of the Clintons traveled across the nation to campaign for Bill Clinton's presidency. Some of them reunited for Hillary Clinton's 2016 bid — picking up new travelers along the way.
Kelley, a longtime fan of Hillary Clinton, said she was approached by a few volunteers from the group when she and Schiff were at the Democratic National Convention in July.
“We had left the last party (of the convention) around 2:30 a.m. when this gaggle of women came by,” Kelley recalled.
The women all shared an admiration of Clinton and convinced Kelley and Schiff to join them on the road. The couple visited Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and will canvass in South Carolina, while the majority of the Arkansas Travelers stay in Florida until the election.
Schiff and Kelley arrived in Fort Walton Beach on Wednesday and worked alongside volunteers, knocking on doors and calling voters through Thursday evening. Working with volunteers in Bay and Okaloosa counties was “phenomenal,” Schiff said.
Awesome, these fellow volunteers. And they do it in somewhat hostile (but getting better) territory, the Florida panhandle.
Schiff said he draws from his character on “The West Wing,” White House Communications Director in Toby Ziegler, when talking to voters about policies and issues.
“I’m shockingly never too far from Toby,” Schiff said. “I’m not as smart as he is, but I’m certainly better looking. Unfortunately, I don’t always have Aaron Sorkin’s words.”
While there were inevitable fan selfies, Schiff and Kelley were in town on a mission to get votes. Thinking back to the 2000 election, Schiff said it’s important to get the word out in Florida and urged voters not to waste their time getting to the polls.
“The (2000 presidential) election was decided by 537 votes. ... We hit a fork in the road and took the wrong fork, in my opinion,” he said. “One vote might make a difference.”
“This election is the most important of our lifetime,” he added.
8. Hillary Clinton Issues Position Paper on Greek Issues; Pushes for Debt Relief for Greece
As a Greek-American myself, this article was important to me, the estimated 3 Million Greek descendant who live in the United States, and also to my extended family in Greece. I would like to share it.
The Pappas Post reports:
Hillary Clinton Issues Position Paper on Greek Issues; Pushes for Debt Relief for Greece
Just days away from a crucial election, Hillary Clinton becomes the first of the two major party candidates to release official positions on issues of importance to Greek Americans. In her campaign’s position paper, which was released on November 4, Clinton mentions her record with Greece and Greek Americans during her time as First Lady, a U.S. Senator, and as Secretary of State.
According to her statement (transcript), here:
Growing Together: Hillary Clinton’s Vision for Advancing Opportunity for Greek Americans & Immigrants of Greek Descent
“As First Lady, Senator and Secretary of State, Hillary regularly engaged with leaders of the Greek Orthodox Church. She visited the Ecumenical Patriarchate three times, highlighting its importance: once as First Lady in 1996, again in 1999 when she returned with President Bill Clinton – the first sitting US President ever to visit – and again in 2011 as Secretary of State. Hillary is a long-time advocate of religious freedom. And she was proud to represent the vibrant Greek American community in New York as Senator.”
Her statement continued on her record as Secretary of State:
“As Secretary of State, Hillary visited Greece in 2011 and signed a Memorandum of Understanding to strengthen collaboration and reduce looting and trafficking of Greek antiquities, and provide for their return to Greece to preserve its cultural heritage. During this visit, she also reinforced the U.S.-Greece partnership in the NATO alliance and reiterated the U.S.’s support of the Greek government to make the necessary reforms to put Greece back on sound financial footing.”
What does she promise if elected President?
“As President,” the statement reads, “Hillary will continue to fight for issues that are important to the Greek American Community” and goes on to list numerous points including her commitment to strengthening NATO and recognizing the important role Greece plays in the alliance, and to the United States.
“Hillary knows that the world is too complex and too complicated for the U.S. to go it alone. Greece is a historic friend and ally of the United States, and the bilateral relationship is critical in promoting regional stability and security, trade and investment, and the diversification of energy resources for Europe. Hillary recognizes Greece’s important role as a NATO ally. Greece hosts the U.S. Naval Support Activity at Souda Bay in Crete, whose deep protected harbor provides a strategically important location for supporting U.S. and allied military activities in Europe, Africa, and the Middle East. As President, Hillary will ensure that we support Greece and work together on important issues such as climate change, fighting terrorism, and economic security. Above all, this is an alliance of values, rooted in a deep commitment to liberty and democracy.”
The position paper also mentioned that Clinton would support debt relief for Greece, a position long-argued by the Greek government as the only viable path forward for the country’s economy, which has been in a severe depression for several years.
“The economic crisis that struck Greece in 2009 caused its economy to contract by about 25 percent and, resulted in dramatic increases in unemployment and poverty. Hillary supports Greece’s efforts to restore fiscal stability, implement structural reforms, recover competitiveness and restart growth. And she strongly believes that the Eurozone should continue to take the necessary steps to keep its monetary union intact. Hillary will continue to support efforts by Greece and its creditors to find solutions for Greece to meet its financial obligations, while providing a path forward for economic recovery through debt relief.”
Clinton also acknowledge the role the people of Greece have played in helping refugees and called them “an example to Europe and the world,” and praising their generosity and compassion.
“Hillary recognizes the tremendous efforts made by the Greek people to offer humanitarian aid and assistance to the hundreds of thousands of refugees and migrants who have entered the country since 2015. The generosity and compassion they have demonstrated set an important example for Europe and the world. Hillary will continue to call for a more robust international response to the European migration crisis. She will also ensure the U.S. maintains its role as the largest donor of humanitarian assistance to displaced persons and refugees.”
Finally, Clinton called for a solution to the four-decades-long Cyprus conflict and continued illegal Turkish occupation of the northern third of the island— a long-standing issue that numerous Presidents prior have attempted– but failed to solve.
“Hillary strongly supports efforts to reach a comprehensive settlement to reunify Cyprus as a bi-zonal, bi-communal federation. She supports Cypriot-led, UN-facilitated negotiations as the best process to achieve a fair and lasting settlement. Hillary views Cyprus as a strategic partner of the United States, and she values our close cooperation with Cyprus and the European Union in advancing our shared transatlantic priorities.”
9. Oregon woman, 90, died happy after voting for Hillary Clinton, son says
The Oregonian has this story:
Oregon woman, 90, died happy after voting for Hillary Clinton, son says
Anita Harris will be cheering from above on Election Day, her son Scott says.
That's because the Clackamas County voter cast a ballot for Hillary Clinton earlier this week before passing away at 90. Scott Harris posted a photo of his mother holding her ballot on the secret National Pantsuit Day Facebook group on Wednesday, which quickly went viral.
"My Mom. Voting for HRC. She waited 90 years. She passed away last night. She'll be cheering from above Tuesday nite," he posted on the group page.
His mother had been ill and in hospice for eight months, Scott Harris told The Huffington Post.
He also told the Huffington Post that his mother was part of a get-out-the-vote push for Clinton as recently as a few months ago.
"She was always politically minded and 'opinionated' long before women with opinions were accepted," he told the site in an email. "You could not silence her voice."
The Facebook post has so far received more than 2,600 comments and been seen by more than 20,000 people.
Scott Harris said that his mother didn't want a fancy service when she died.
"She just wanted us to go eat great Chinese food so when we do we will toast her and HRC," he told The Huffington Post.
And as one intrepid commenter has pointed out, Anita Harris was registered in a state where mail-in ballots are still counted even if the voter dies after casting it. (Good thing she didn't live in South Dakota.)
10. For women, defeating Trump is a message to men who behave like he does
We turn to Shareblue, and their excellent coverage of the election.
Melissa McEwan writes for Shareblue:
For women, defeating Trump is a message to men who behave like he does
Millions and millions of women across the country will be casting a vote (or already have) for Hillary Clinton because they are enthusiastic for her. For many of us, our vote will also be decidedly cast against Donald Trump — and every man whose mistreatment of us he represents.
It is a natural consequence of an election primarily between two candidates to explore whether voters are more disposed to vote for one candidate or against the other. There has been lots of polling on that subject this cycle.
But what those binary numbers do not reveal is that many women supporting Hillary Clinton are voting enthusiastically for her, and just as enthusiastically against her opponent, Donald Trump.
Many of us may be doing it loudly, and many of us may be doing it quietly, but, in the privacy of a voting booth, our votes are not weighted by how loudly we have broadcast our intentions. Each vote matters equally.
Each vote is an opportunity to vote for Clinton, the first female, feminist presidential candidate, who has spent her career advocating for women’s equality; who said that “human rights are women’s rights, and women’s rights are human rights, once and for all.”
Each vote is also an opportunity to vote against Trump, an unrepentant misogynist who has admitted groping women; who represents a toxic masculinity against which every woman must struggle in her life.
Yeah, really. Women are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time. They are enthusiastic for Hillary and at the same time repulsed by Trump.
Melissa ends this excellent article with:
It will be a vote for a candidate in whom I believe, a vote for myself and my place in the world, a vote against any man who would tell either of us — or any woman — that the measure of our humanity is less than their own.
I’m with her, and I’m categorically not with him.
11. Black women will not be deterred by the GOP’s voter suppression
Also from Shareblue comes this article written by Ginger McKnight-Shavers:
Black women will not be deterred by the GOP’s voter suppression
When the First Lady uttered that now famous phrase, “when they go low, we go high,” it was not some empty campaign slogan. It came from her core.
At the time, I wrote about how my Harvard Law School classmate Michelle Obama so perfectly articulated “why America is the greatest nation on earth, full of promise and hope, in stark contrast to Donald’s dystopian distortion.” But her words cut deeper than that. They reflected the depth of our shared experience as Black women, the true grit of our parents and ancestors in the face of unfathomable struggles, and their unwavering refusal to be bowed or deterred by the worst of America.
I remember the First Lady’s dedication in protesting South African apartheid and other injustices while we were students at Harvard. So I immediately thought of her and her words at the DNC Convention when I read “An Elderly Black Woman Voted in Texas Today” at Daily Kos:
The first person to vote in my precinct’s polling place was an elderly African American woman who had been standing in line on her cane for at least an hour… We black women do not take our votes lightly.
That excellent diary on DailyKos gets a prominent mention here. Awesome.
But we know better. Like the author of the Daily Kos piece, I was not surprised by the diligence of this elderly Black woman in Texas. This is all I knew growing up in Dallas. Starting at a young age, my friends and I were instructed to hand out campaign flyers, put up lawn signs, and attend rallies with our parents. We stood in voting booths with them and watched them pull the levers. My mother even sent me to my predominantly white, conservative elementary school with a large McGovern button pinned on my shirt collar every day.
Unbowed. Undeterred.
Our community knows the value of showing up and refusing to give up. People like this elderly voter and my mother elected the first Black congresswoman from the Deep South, Barbara Jordan of Texas. They obliterated Jim Crow. They made the improbable election of America’s first Black president a reality. And despite misleading headlines that suggest we are not turning out to the polls, the Black vote is surging.
That is actually true. Latest early-vote numbers show that African-American early voting turnout is 22% higher than in 2012.
Let the GOP go low. Black citizens will heed the First Lady’s call, as we always have done. In large numbers on November 8, we will follow the lead of this elderly woman in Texas down the high road toward electing the nation’s first woman president.
Ok, as always I end this HNV with the latest tweets from Hillary’s twitter feed with truth telling and inspirational tweets.
Ok, that’s it for this edition of the HNV. I’ll be writing one next Saturday, celebrating with you all our new President, Hillary Clinton.