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Thu Oct 17, 2013 at 12:58 PM PDT

Obamacare signups ahead of schedule

by HippoRider

AP got a Health and Human Services memo on expected sign ups by month:

In the memo, officials estimated that 494,620 people would sign up for health insurance under the program by Oct. 31.
Wonkblog is tracking Obamacare sign ups for the states that have their own exchange. The data isn't very current - for example, New York and California are as of 10/8. They also excluded a few states (Hawaii, Massachusetts, Vermont, Rhode Island) for which unofficial numbers are available. For those 14 states and DC, the number of completed applications is about 148.6K. If we use Minnesota's people per account ratio (2.1) for all of those states, that means about 312K people have signed up in just 14 states and DC. Some state details below the fold.
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Oh noes! has be a disaster! Plagued by cronyism, bad management and too many cooks!

My background is IT, working with ERP systems. Based upon my experience, the implementation of has been a disaster, as long as you ignore all of the successes. But if you look at the successes and put them in perspective, then the implementation looks like a success. I discuss their successes on the other side.

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All of the pundits I have read have assumed the Mitt tax plan will give massive tax cuts to the wealthy and then make up for the loss of revenue by doing some combination of:
1. Cutting government programs for the poor and middle class
2. Increasing taxes on the non-wealthy
3. Increasing the deficit

On 9/24 at a debate with an economic adviser to Barack Obama, an informal adviser to Mitt Romney said that Romney wouldn't raise taxes on low-income people or on the middle class. For the rich:

If you think the base-broadeners don’t add up, if you think he can’t get to 28 percent, then the right thing that would happen, as you know, if you’re going to have a revenue-neutral reform, is that they would have a different change in rates.
The advisor Kevin Hassett said that Romney would reduce the overall tax rate for the rich so that the tax revenue reduction from the rate change would equal the tax revenue increase from cutting tax expenditures for the rich. So overall, the rich would pay the same amount of tax.

With that, Romney's tax plan is reduced to nonsense that won't pass Congress.

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Wed Sep 26, 2012 at 10:30 AM PDT

Assessing the Right's GOTV operation

by HippoRider

When I first read about how much bigger the GOTV operations of the GOP and other conservative organizations are this year than 2008, I was worried. I then did some research and decided that the Right's GOTV's isn't getting the job done. Details on the either side.

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Fri Sep 14, 2012 at 10:03 AM PDT

Romney: Liar or Idiot?

by HippoRider

On the embassy attacks, Romney to me did the equivalent of saying 2+2 = 143 (then 139 then 42). When someone reaches a completely wrong answer from a few basic facts, the only two logic choices are "That person is a liar" and/or "That person is an idiot". I think that Romney is a smart man who lies all the time, but has outsmarted himself so the MSM is now calling him an idiot.

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Did you know the Iraqi economy is booming?

  • GDP growth in 2005 was 17%, in 2006 13%
  • Salaries have risen more than 100% since 2003
  • Real Estate prices have risen several hundred percent in the last two years, indicating a red hot real estate market
  • 7,100,000 cell phone subscribers - up from 1,400,000 only two years ago. This nation's leading cell phone company took in $333,000,000 in 2005, and is on track to take in $520,000,000 in 2006
  • $41,000,000,000 in oil revenues in 2006
  • Since January 2006, the Iraqi dinar has steadily increased in value against the Iranian rial, the Kuwaiti dinar and the U.S. dollar
  • A private firm marketing soft drinks has seen profits double since the end of 2003
  • The number of luxury cars imported has risen from a few hundred in 2002 to more than 20,000 this year
  • Gasoline is .14 cents a liter

All "facts" from a series of articles from Newsweek, the New York Post, and  Of course, the MSM is not covering all of this good news from Iraq.  And of course, it's all cherry picked facts yanked out of context or flat out wrong.

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The Republicans are trying to blame the Democrats for the Foley scandal and are calling for Pelosi and other Democrats to testify. Pelosi should call and raise on them - announce that she and the Democratic leadership will testify about Mark Foley under oath on TV and that she expects Hastert and the Republican leadership to do the same.

What do you think of this idea

80%36 votes
11%5 votes
6%3 votes
2%1 votes

| 45 votes | Vote | Results

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Wed Jul 13, 2005 at 10:09 AM PDT

Left on Lewinsky vs Right on Rove

by HippoRider

During the year of Monica, whenever any on the Left discussed Clinton in the MSM, they had to concede that (1) having an affair in the Whitehouse was bad and (2) lying to the American people about the affair was bad.  Then, the the person would say that while they find Clinton's personal actions abhorent, that is Clinton's personal life and now let's talk about his policies.  It seemed to be a requirement in order to speak in the MSM.

Today, it's clear to me that (1) outing a CIA officer (covert or not) was bad and (2) lying to the American people about it for two years was bad.  Yet, the Right's standard seems to be that Rove didn't knowingly commit a crime, so nothing bad was done.

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Thu Apr 21, 2005 at 01:10 PM PDT

Bush's 2005 troubles and Bolton

by HippoRider

Every day, Bush is looking more and more like a lame duck.  You have to give the Bushies their due - they have been extraordinarily successful in keeping Bush popular despite achieving poor results and ramming through an unpopular agenda.  However, their methods are running into trouble and I think it is only going to get worse for them.  Below I discuss why I think the Bushies have been so successful, the four problems they have encountered in 2005 and how the Bolton nomination fits in.
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Wed Apr 20, 2005 at 07:57 AM PDT

AP story on filibuster wrong

by HippoRider

The story says:
While it takes only a majority vote to change Senate rules, it takes 60 senators to end a filibuster.
No! No! No!  It takes 67 votes to change a Senate rule.  More on the flip.
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Thu Apr 14, 2005 at 01:57 PM PDT

A terrorist gets off easy

by HippoRider

I dislike the death penalty.  It's far more expensive than keeping someone locked up for life, research shows that it doesn't deter anyone, and far too often a poor innocent is executed.  However, there is one case where I can understand the use of the death penalty - for when people have gone to war against innocent, law-abiding Americans and our government, trying to overthrow the American way of life through senseless slaughter.  In a word, terrorists.  Once someone shows themselves to be at war with America, I can understand America fighting back to the fullest extent possible.

Today, a terrorist got off with a life sentence instead of the death penalty.  [More on the flip]

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A logical consequence of all the fundamental Christian extremist talk about how important it is to save Terri Schiavo, a 50 year old man tried to steal a gun in Florida to
"take some action and rescue Terri Schiavo" after he visited the Pinellas Park hospice where she lives
I find it quite scary to consider what would happen if the man had gotten a gun, given what he said to the gun shop owner who stopped the robbery:
[I]f I wasn't on Terri's side then I wasn't on God's side, either


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