GOPvalentine.com rejects a vaguely ethnic name

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Thursday February 14, 2013 · 8:31 PM PST

2013/02/14 · 20:31

GOPvalentine.com. It's a thing! And it has some nice pictures of Barack and Joe and Barney! Including Barack making the McKayla is not impressed face. Good times. So I went to send my sweetheart a valentine.

I put in my name, Ari. It changed it to "A friend." Seriously?

I know that the GOP is afraid of anything that isn't real America (and Ari is kind of Jewy, or Greek, or Finnish), but with Ari Fleischer and the hubbub with Chuck Hagel, you'd think that they'd at least let their software allow the AIPACers to send out valentines. But, no, they are so messed up that they block out a perfectly acceptable name.

Time for a long drink of water.

Unadjusted jobless claims lowest since '08

irativesfo

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Thursday September 06, 2012 · 8:32 AM PDT

2012/09/06 · 08:32

Two big numbers dropped this morning. The biggest, arguably, is the huge ADP number (diaried here) which came in over 200,000, way above estimates. This bodes very well for tomorrow's jobs number.

The second number is the new unemployment claims number. This is a weekly figure and is a more-recently updated figure—the number released today encompasses last week, not last month. We almost always see the seasonally-adjusted figure (and for good reason, at certain times of the year it bounces around by hundreds of thousands each week). Today's number was good at 365,000, but not too far off the recent trend.

However, this is not a time of year when there is usually much fluctuation, and the not seasonally-adjusted number tells a different story. It's 307,000. Follow below for how good a number that is.

irativesfo

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Tuesday February 17, 2009 · 2:35 PM PST

2009/02/17 · 14:35

In this morning's Pioneer Press, which we get here at work (my dad remarked on a visit this weekend that it seems pretty thin, because it is), there was a Politico article entitled "GOP dead set against 59th Dem."

In it, and I'll excerpt a bit below, there are several instances of various Republicans' PACs giving oodles of money to Norm Coleman to continue his losing battle against Al Franken. As much as I detest not having representation in congress, and as much as I wish ol' Al was my Senator, I can't help but smile when I think of tens or hundreds of thousands (or, MILLIONS!) of dollars being thrown in to the wind like TARP funds at banks rather than buying ad time for Republicans in races in 2010.

In other words, the Republicans are being penny wise and pound foolish, or robbing Peter to pay Paul, or any number of aphorisms. I like it.

Poll

335 votes Show Results

Al Franken will be seated by

335 votes Vote Now!

Al Franken will be seated by

Spring (March 21)

144 votes

Tax Day (April 15)

90 votes

Memorial Day (May 25)

49 votes

Independence Day (July 4)

14 votes

Labor Day (September 7)

11 votes

Election Day (November 3)

2 votes

After November 3

10 votes

Never (New election, act of god, rapture, etc)

7 votes

Never (Coleman will prevail in the end)

8 votes

Turns out, I was right

irativesfo

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Saturday December 20, 2008 · 3:15 PM PST

2008/12/20 · 15:15

Back in the heady days of Palin-mania, when it came out that Bristol was preggers and the right wing got all excited with starbursts, I made a comment:

White Trash? Or is that going too far?

I was roundly critised for it. I racked up 7 troll/hide ratings for it. I was told to "F off," people were "ashamed." I was told I should be "kicked off."

Now, we can have a debate about how "White Trash" is a pejorative. It seems that it is. Perhaps I should have said "redneck" or something else. But it is a descriptor. But with what we've learned since then, what with Sarah Palin pallin' around with drug dealers (thank goodness we didn't elect this woman), I will stand by my comment. Maybe not in the same words, but the content stands.

I won't say I am amazed by my prescience, I made the comment off-hand and probably used a term I shouldn't have. If it is offensive to some, I apologise. But, in a sense, anyway, I was right.

irativesfo

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Thursday December 04, 2008 · 6:54 AM PST

2008/12/04 · 06:54

Remember when Sarah Palin got a call from a couple Quebecois? You know, also, they said that they were French President Nicolas Sarkozy and, also, Sarah got all flustered and said how much she loved France despite never setting foot there but that she could see vineyards from her house. And then it turned out to be a coupleCanadian pranksters! Ha ha.

Well, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, the good congresscritter from Florida, was not going to be taken advantage of. Nope, not when the fake Barack Obama called. She's not as stupid as Palin, also.

Poll

77 votes Show Results

Lift the Cuba embargo and travel ban

77 votes Vote Now!

Lift the Cuba embargo and travel ban

YES

74 votes

1 vote

Mojito pie

2 votes

MN-Pres election night live blog

irativesfo

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Tuesday November 04, 2008 · 3:59 PM PST

2008/11/04 · 15:59

Welcome to the Election 2008 Live Blogging Project.

Please do not recommend this diary! Instead, please recommend the mothership diary. Also, please do not post images or videos.

Other MN diaries:
MN-SEN

Topline numbers:

What a surprise, Obama wins Minnesota The big race is the Senate.

MN-Pres - 0% reporting
Barack Obama (DFL): 0
John McCain (R): 0

Jump to:
2004 map results
2004 and 2008 county chart
A poll

More below the fold...

Poll

22 votes Show Results

Obama's margin in Minnesota will be...

22 votes Vote Now!

Obama's margin in Minnesota will be...

<-5

2 votes

-5 to -2

0 votes

-2 to -0.5

1 vote

-0.5 to 0.5 (recount)

0 votes

0.5-2

1 vote

2-5

0 votes

5-8

4 votes

8-12

3 votes

12+

11 votes

SHOCK POLL: Obama leads 73-12 on Facebook

irativesfo

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Sunday November 02, 2008 · 2:41 PM PST

2008/11/02 · 14:41

Amongst users of Facebook, who are generally young and internet savvy, Barack Obama leads John McCain 73-12.

Facebook has an "app" which will automatically change your "status" to get out the vote for their favorite candidate. (I'm not a big fan of Facebook's shenanigans which is why I put most everything from their site in quotes). Users can choose from amongst Barack Obama, John McCain or "just get out the vote."

So far, with 159574 users (now that I am done composing, it's over 163k) signed up, the results are

73% Barack Obama
12% John McCain
9% Just get out the vote

I figured Obama would be ahead amongst this demographic, and that it might be a 2-1 advantage (mirroring national polls of under-30s). But I would have never guessed 6-1.

Poll

129 votes Show Results

Current 13- to 17-year olds will break for the Dems in 2012 by

129 votes Vote Now!

Current 13- to 17-year olds will break for the Dems in 2012 by

70-30

41 votes

65-35

41 votes

60-40

24 votes

55-45

5 votes

50-50

0 votes

45-55

0 votes

40-60

1 vote

Other

1 vote

96.8584073â€¦ to 3.1415927â€¦

16 votes

375 EVs for Obama — amazing agreement (w/ Poll)

irativesfo

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday October 25, 2008 · 7:38 PM PDT

2008/10/25 · 19:38

On my daily read of Fivethirtyeight.com I noticed that an astounding number of Nate's projections — 16% — were coming in at 375 electoral votes. Yesterday it was closer to 20.

Then I started poking around (the non-MSM that is)

Electoral Vote: 375

Real Clear Politics: 375

Intrade state-by-state: 375

Pollster (states ahead): 378 (only because they have Obama up in N.D.)

Election projection: 364 (dropping an 11-EV state, either MO or IN)

This is actually a lot of agreement; same data, different methodologies, similar results.

Poll

400 votes Show Results

How many EVs will Obama win

400 votes Vote Now!

How many EVs will Obama win

538's top 5: 375

61 votes

538's top 5: 376

7 votes

538's top 5: 364

41 votes

538's top 5: 378

16 votes

538's top 5: 286

13 votes

Other < 269 (lose)

3 votes

Other = 269 (tie = win)

2 votes

Other 270-299

29 votes

Other 300-329

69 votes

Other 330-359

50 votes

Other 360-389

41 votes

Other 390-419

56 votes

Other 420-449

2 votes

Other 450-479

0 votes

Other 480+

10 votes

Minnesota Legislature could be veto-proof

irativesfo

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday October 23, 2008 · 8:55 AM PDT

2008/10/23 · 08:55

This issue has gotten very little press. Before today, there was just a single story on Minnesota Public Radio a few weeks back. But the resurgence of DFL (Democrat-Farmer-Labor) in the Minnesota legislature has been nothing short of extraordinary.

Republicans took control of the house in 1998, and by the 2002 election they had an 81-53 majority. In 2004, which was not a great year for DFLers (although Kerry won Minnesota handily) the Democrats outperformed expectations, pulling to within one voteof a split; the Republicans led 68-66.

2006 was another banner year: the DFL swept everything but the governor's mansion (due to a poor candidate) and in the House they not only took the lead, they vaulted ahead, taking an 85-49 lead; in two cycles reversing the Republican's dominance.

But in 2008, it might get very interesting...

Poll

33 votes Show Results

The DFL will

33 votes Vote Now!

The DFL will

Win 5+ seats: VETO PROOF

18 votes

Win 1-5 seats

9 votes

Unchanged

0 votes

Lose 1-5 seats

0 votes

Lose 5+ seats

1 vote

Pie

5 votes

Children in the campaign: IOKIYAR to the extreme

irativesfo

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday October 22, 2008 · 7:03 PM PDT

2008/10/22 · 19:03

Last week I saw Michelle Obama speak. She's a heck of a speaker, too. Different than Barack, but polished and articulate (and clean). But when she spoke, she didn't have any props. Chris Coleman and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (who I got to meet today!) and then Michelle. What made this different than, say, a Palin rally?

No kids

Poll

209 votes Show Results

Malia and Sasha: Great first children, or greatest first children?

209 votes Vote Now!

Malia and Sasha: Great first children, or greatest first children?

Great

52 votes

Greatest

157 votes

AP totally in the tank (funny AP typo)

irativesfo

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday October 09, 2008 · 7:55 PM PDT

2008/10/09 · 19:55

Linked off of 538:

Obama plans half-hour TV ad days before election

One of Obama's most recent ads comes as McCain makes an issue of Obama's connections to 1960s radical Bill Ayers and as McCain's running mate, Sarah Plain, argues that Obama "is not a man who sees America like you and I see America."

Emphasis so mine.

Poll

136 votes Show Results

How Plain is Palin?

136 votes Vote Now!

How Plain is Palin?

White bread plain

24 votes

Off white plain

10 votes

Cheese-with-no-toppings plain

3 votes

last-debate-boring plain

13 votes

like pie with no filling

86 votes

Ad: Palin throwing McCain under the bus?

irativesfo

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday October 08, 2008 · 3:50 PM PDT

2008/10/08 · 15:50

I was on FiveThirtyEight and saw the following ad on the top of the page:

Okay, now, first of all, I clicked it. Why? Because Poblano/Nate gets money from McCain/Palin when that happens. Frankly, all you Kossacks should be going to FiveThirtyEight every day and clicking every McCain/Palin ad you see. Steal from the ~~rich~~assholes and give to the ~~poor~~not-as-rich and really awesome (did you see Colbert last night?).

But then I looked at the ad…

…and I thought:

Where's John McCain? I thought he was running for president!

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RSS

GOPvalentine.com rejects a vaguely ethnic name

Unadjusted jobless claims lowest since '08

MN-Sen silver lining? Repubs throw $$ away

Turns out, I was right

FL-18: Ros-Lehtinen a WANKER

MN-Pres election night live blog

SHOCK POLL: Obama leads 73-12 on Facebook

375 EVs for Obama — amazing agreement (w/ Poll)

Minnesota Legislature could be veto-proof

Children in the campaign: IOKIYAR to the extreme

AP totally in the tank (funny AP typo)

Ad: Palin throwing McCain under the bus?