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Thu Nov 06, 2014 at 05:33 PM PST

The Boom and Bust Cycle is By Design

by jgkojak

Kos wrote about the boom and bust cycle, how Republicans win every off year election, Dems win every Presidential year, and no one has any incentive to change.

Fuck the incentives.

The Boom and Bust cycle is BY DESIGN.  It benefits the people at the top immensely.

How does it work?  Below the fold...

Poll

Republican nominee in 2016 will be

16%1 votes
0%0 votes
16%1 votes
16%1 votes
16%1 votes
33%2 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes

| 6 votes | Vote | Results

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Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback isLOSING to Democrat Paul Davis by 6 pts.

Four months out and the KSN News Poll shows sitting Kansas Governor Sam Brownback losing to his Democratic challenger, Paul Davis in the November General Election. In that race, Davis leads Brownback 47% to 41% with a margin of error of +/- 3.1%.
This is BIG BIG news.  Brownback is like Scott Walker on steroids w/a very red legislature backing him.   I don't have much to say except - please SUPPORT PAUL DAVIS.
Poll

I'm contributing to Paul Davis to defeat Brownback

77%77 votes
23%23 votes

| 100 votes | Vote | Results

Discuss

Thu Dec 12, 2013 at 09:12 AM PST

Daily Kos: Stop the Agism

by jgkojak

Yet again, we are treated to an unflattering image of an older person on the front page.

The story of the computer-illiterate doctor quitting did not feature a photo of the actual doctor (which would have been OK and interesting), but instead a stock photo of an older person making a face.  

It's safe  to say that if such unflattering images were used to make light of any other class of people (immigrants, poor people, various ethnic groups) it would be deemed obviously inappropriate and not in keeping with the philosophy of a progressive community.

So I'm a little puzzled why Daily Kos continues to promote such obviously ageist imagery.

Poll

Is it agism?

64%52 votes
24%20 votes
11%9 votes

| 81 votes | Vote | Results

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We keep hearing calls for Elizabeth Warren to run in 2016, to keep Hillary honest in the Democratic primaries.  This ignores the fact that
1) Warren would be a reluctant candidate (as Kos recently said)
2) Warren is not a particularly good candidate - she tends to come off as shrill (I love the woman, but being honest) with non-partisans
3) She hails from a state (she'll get as many votes in Oklahoma as Obama got in Kansas) - MA - that is already in the bag electorally and may not translate all that far in the Dem primaries.

I agree it may be necessary to keep Hillary honest by running someone to her left.

So... why not Sherrod Brown?

Poll

Brown or Warren vs Clinton?

79%71 votes
20%18 votes

| 89 votes | Vote | Results

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Chris Christie will be the GOP.  And you are naive to think otherwise.

You can make the argument that tea-party conservatives just won't vote for him in a primary, but in a race with 2-4 solid tea-party candidates, some (Brownback) with money (Koch Bros.) and others who will do or say anything (Cruz, Rand Paul), he doesn't need a majority.

Further, the corporate masters of the GOP, the ones who want Keystone, who want their slice of the pie, will not tolerate losing.  They will back a winner.  And that is what the media have deemed Christie.  Even MSNBC was gushing about his "victory" (despite his making sure he's not on the ballot with Booker).  

And make no mistake, Christie is a true Conservative/tea partier.  He's just smarter and shrewder than some of the others and hides it better.  

More in extended...

Poll

Will Christie be the GOP nominee?

45%74 votes
54%90 votes

| 164 votes | Vote | Results

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I understand a general opposition to military intervention.  What I am having trouble with is the naivete on this site about the politics.

You do realize that the same people that have undermined everything Obama has done (i.e. Obamacare implementation) are the same people you are sharing your opposition to action in Syria.

Do you think these hawkish tea-partiers and red-state Dems (Joe Manchin anyone?) are really acting on principle?  No.  They (I won't include Manchin in this) have proven again and again that they are not patriots, they are political opportunists whose first mission is to see Obama fail as President.  GOP Leadership can act "responsible" and maintain the precedent of Congressional leadership universally backing foreign policy choices, knowing full well their rank and file will vote to cripple Obama.

You all do realize that Obama's second term hinges on the Congressional Syria vote?
 If Obama loses this vote, several things happen:

1) He loses credibility around the world.
2) His hands are tied for the next three years on foreign policy.
3) Like his other capitulations, this weakness only encourages his domestic enemies.

More below the squiggly.

Poll

Should Congress approve Obama's request on Syria?

20%29 votes
79%112 votes

| 141 votes | Vote | Results

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Fri Aug 30, 2013 at 01:10 PM PDT

Reasons to Support Obama on Syria

by jgkojak

There is a lot of sentiment in Congress and on here calling into question the reason we would take military action against Syria.  I am going to go through the reasons we should consider supporting Obama here -

They fall into 3 categories -

1.  Moral
2.  Geopolitical
3.  Political (domestic)

#3 should not really be a consideration, but let's examine the ramifications anyway.  Below the fold.

Poll

Do you support Obama on Syria

44%39 votes
42%37 votes
12%11 votes

| 87 votes | Vote | Results

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Wed Jun 26, 2013 at 08:21 AM PDT

Don't Celebrate our SCOTUS Victory Yet

by jgkojak

I have a sneaking suspicion.  

And it is this:

The real significance of this SCOTUS term has been the consistent grinding away at the American Dream - your right to class action, the dismantling of voting rights, employee rights, I'll even go back to Citizens United.

The Corporatists in charge couldn't give a rats ass about whether you are gay, who you love, or even abortion.  They want power and money and want to hold you down to achieve it.

Bans on gay marriage are only important if they represent a means to oppress or control a portion of the population.  I'll argue that they don't need it anymore because they have many other, more effective means to control more people.  

More in extended...

Poll

They abdicated or we won, or who cares?

55%15 votes
37%10 votes
7%2 votes

| 27 votes | Vote | Results

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Tue Jan 29, 2013 at 11:18 AM PST

Thoughts on TTFN, GBCW and bullying

by jgkojak

As a longtime Kossack (no. 1200), I have been around long enough to see every pie fight and controversy within the site.  I also haven't really ever been involved in one of these, and have observed from the sidelines - I usually have better things to do.  Since I have a spare moment, I wanted to share a thought on the recent controversies.

I work with people with Autism and am the parent of a young man with Aspergers.  I've worked with people with disabilities for 20 years.  I have a pretty good handle on what people who experience the world differently than others, through a different physical, emotional or perceptual experience (or all of the above).  Here is my observation:

I think some people are less gifted than others in how they express themselves, and a few people who are extremely gifted use their talent to bully, shame and drive these people away- instead of reaching out, practicing patience and tolerance.  

More in extended...

Poll

I promise to reach out with kindness and understanding when I encounter these situations in Dkos...

73%174 votes
26%63 votes

| 237 votes | Vote | Results

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Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 10:15 AM PST

Senate Preview - 2014

by jgkojak

Its never too soon to look at what the Senate holds for 2014.  

Did the Dems build up enough of a cushion to insulate them in 2014, where they will be facing a similar-to-2012 20-13 difference in seats up for re-election?

Maybe.

First up:
Democrats should immediately approach Susan Collins and offer her whatever swag she needs to become an Indy like King and caucus with the Democrats.  Mainers have proven they'll vote for an Indy, and she's getting primaried anyway - so she may as well do it now and gain some power.  

Predictions below the swirly.

Poll

On Nov. 5th 2014, the number Dem seats in the Senate

13%23 votes
5%9 votes
7%14 votes
9%16 votes
13%24 votes
10%18 votes
14%26 votes
8%15 votes
17%31 votes

| 176 votes | Vote | Results

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Remember the first debate in 2004?  George W Bush was practically incoherent.

First 2004 Presidential Debate

Kerry, of course, went on to lose that election, despite Bush appearing almost unqualified to be President.   Watch that tape and compare to Obama's performance, which was not even close to being that bad.  

This will probably move the needle 2 percent in Romney's favor.  The Vice-Presidential debate will move the needle none (ask Vice President Bentsen about that).  

The next debate is a Town Hall format, which favors Obama - I'll be shocked if Mitt gets through it without insulting someone (and you know he'll get a 47% question from the crowd).  The foreign policy debate will favor the guy who killed Osama Bin Laden.  Romney is out of his depth.  

Poll

Romney bump from debate

19%6 votes
22%7 votes
19%6 votes
9%3 votes
3%1 votes
9%3 votes
9%3 votes
0%0 votes
6%2 votes

| 31 votes | Vote | Results

Discuss

Mon Oct 01, 2012 at 08:53 PM PDT

Deb Fischer Is the Devil

by jgkojak

After watching the Kerrey/Fischer NE Senate debate on C-SPAN I have come to the following conclusion:

Deb Fischer is the devil.

I have never seen a more vapid, condescending, meaningless performance, met with reasoning, logic and fact and responding with yet more vapidity, meaninglessness and condescension.  It is like someone took Sarah Palin, removed her personality, and replaced it with a grotesque caricature of Michelle Bachmann on valium.  

The fact that Deb Fischer is somehow and in some way running 20 pts ahead of a decorated war veteran with years of public and private sector experience is pure insanity, I don't care how red the state is.

That is all.

Poll

Deb Fischer is the devil.

70%133 votes
29%55 votes

| 188 votes | Vote | Results

Discuss
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