I know there is a lot of frustration on Daily Kos about superdelegates. People become especially frustrated when they read stories about Obama having twenty superdelegates waiting to delcare, but those superdelegates come out one by one rather than in a block.
Furthermore, the MSM makes it sound like the superdelegates are undecided as to who to back. Actually, the MSM's take is understandably: if the superdelegates have decided, why have they not declated. If rumors of blocks of fifty or twenty superdelegates for Obama never pan out, why shouldn't the MSM think that the superdelegates are undecided and are weighing each candidate's merits.
However, if you closely look at recent reporting and what has happened to date with superdelegates, I think it is safe bet that more than 75% of the remaining undeclarated superdelegates are going to declare for Obama. Indeed, I think 75% is conservative and I think it is quite possible that Obama will get more than 80% of the outstanding superdelegates. And I think there is strong reason to believe that in July many well known Clinton superdelegates will switch sides.
Obama's first ballot margin at the convention will be at least 300 votes and possibly more than 400 votes due to superdelegate voting.
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