So another big Ipsos 50 state dump came out today, and I’ve been comparing the numbers from their last few “polls.”
Let me begin by saying it’s a mix of “What the fuck?” “How in the hell?” and “Wait a minute…” I won’t say it is good, nor will I say it is bad, because quite frankly it’s indecipherable. For example:
Maine: Clinton is up 19 in Maine. YAY!!! But in the IPSOS survey that ended a week ago she was only up 1. An 18 point jump—super likely.
Colorado and New Mexico: Clinton is suddenly losing Colorado, it’s Trump +3, last survey it was Clinton +6. In NM Trump is UP 10...yes TEN points, last Ipsos survey it was Clinton +3.
Ohio: Clinton +2, a week ago Trump +3.
New Hampshire (maybe because it’s so close to Maine): Clinton +13, a week ago it was TRUMP +1.
Seriously, going over these numbers makes my head hurt. They’re all in 538 right now and don’t seem to have made more than a .5% difference, but what the hell?
PS: Here’s Ipsos’s last three Nebraska surveys...enjoy…
Sep 10: Trump +28
Sep. 3: Trump + 7
Aug 27: Clinton +4….yeah, that’s Clinton with a 4 point lead...a 32 point swing in two weeks—that’s something.