75% chance of Govt Shutdown. Again.

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Tuesday September 22, 2015 · 7:34 AM PDT

2015/09/22 · 07:34

I realize in the middle of the Primaries, it's easy to forget some of the blocking and tackling of the Governing process but in about a week and a half we will probably see
another Government shutdown. A big one..

Stan Collender writing for Politico places the odds at 75%.

http://www.politico.com/...

ve been predicting since July that the irreconcilable differences between Democrats and Republicans on several key issues — only some of which have anything to do with the budget — are much more likely than not to lead to the federal government shutting down when the next fiscal year begins at midnight, Sept. 30. My most recent projection is that there is now a 75 percent chance of a shutdown
Read more: http://www.politico.com/...

So that means lots of civilians furloughed, lots of contractors furloughed.

Military not getting paid.

More below

Poll

38 votes Show Results

shutdown

38 votes Vote Now!

shutdown

Nah, They will work it out

2 votes

Yep, Cruz Will cause it

28 votes

Just for a few hours.

4 votes

Fox on blocks fillibuster.

0 votes

Donald Trump buys the govt.

4 votes

Salon: Bernie is no Fluke, HRC not Inevitable

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday September 15, 2015 · 11:33 AM PDT

2015/09/15 · 11:33

I view Secretary Clinton as a very smart, experienced, unwise, impolitic disqualified
candidate for President. I also watched her in 2008, not only flounder, but flounder badly.

She spent much of 2007, convincing everyone she was inevitable, so when she became evitable, she lacked a platform, a message, a Raison D'etre....

Well, 8 years later she was doing the same thing. The Same Pundit's were calling her Inevitable. Well Known bloggers were in the bag for her. Well, now it's Evitability and even her big fans are saying Sanders is no Fluke, Hillary may be a Flounder.
http://www.salon.com/...

The Democratic presidential race began with Hillary Clinton as the presumptive nominee. The punditocracy (myself included) peddled this narrative for years, and for ostensibly good reasons. Hillary, in many respects, is the most prepared and qualified candidate in the entire field. She’s patiently waited her turn since losing to Obama in 2008, and has padded her already impressive resume since. But politics is a fickle business, and the landscape can change overnight.
The view that Hillary Clinton is the obvious frontrunner is no longer defensible.

More about her Pundits turning over, when you turn over the Orange Swirling doom of Evitability. Read More

King Coal Dethroned

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday September 01, 2015 · 8:57 AM PDT

2015/09/01 · 08:57

It's something that should have happened a decade ago, if not 3 decades ago,
but Coal is now starting it's death throes. I don't think Coal consumption will drop to zero,
but i think it will drop some 70-90%. As a feedstock for certain chemical industries and
steel production, that part will continue for a long time, but, the last chapter will be a lot smaller then this one.

http://espresso.economist.com/...

In China, which burns half the world’s coal, consumption in the first four months of 2015 was down by 8% year-on-year; imports by a stonking 38%. The market capitalisation of America’s four largest coal companies is $1.2 billion, down from $22 billion in 2010. America will shut 12.8GW of coal power-generating capacity in 2015, triple the 2014 figure

In two years, the price index of coal has fallen 50%... The Stock Market which all the republicans worship has slashed Coal companies down to penny stocks.

Why, what, and what it means, comes next.

Poll

19 votes Show Results

The Death of Coal

19 votes Vote Now!

The Death of Coal

2015

0 votes

2016

3 votes

2018

3 votes

2020

8 votes

2025

4 votes

Coal will live forever

1 vote

Don't you know we need Jobs?

0 votes

Does Hillary Have a Million Fake Followers

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday August 30, 2015 · 6:56 PM PDT

2015/08/30 · 18:56

https://www.yahoo.com/...

Yahoo tech reports that

Fake Twitter followers abound among the U.S. presidential candidates as they gear up for the election in 2016. And Hillary Clinton isn’t the only candidate with more than a million of them. GOP frontrunner Donald Trump also has well over a million fake followers. Other candidates have them, too, but not as many (in large part because they don’t have as many followers, period).

Now as these things go fake Twitter Followers is sort of a bit of social media hype.

But, it's just a sign of how poor your media team is when they expend resources
to get you fake followers so you can brag about your follower count.

Poll

149 votes Show Results

Is Hillary Clinton spending money to pad social media?

149 votes Vote Now!

Is Hillary Clinton spending money to pad social media?

Yes

62 votes

21 votes

who cares

54 votes

Trump does it.

1 vote

Romney did it so it's legal

4 votes

There is no controlling legal authority

7 votes

Some People Never Learn: Japan to Restart 43 Reactors.

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday August 07, 2015 · 5:24 PM PDT

2015/08/07 · 17:24

http://www.bloomberg.com/...

Japan is about to do something that’s never been done before: Restart a fleet of mothballed nuclear reactors.

March 2011, The Japanese suffered the Great Tohuko Quake an event that killed 15,000 people, and threw the country in chaos and
started the Fukushima Nuclear Disaster which melted down 3 reactors and critically
damaged 9 others, poisoning vast areas of Northern Honshu and the oceans.

And Now Japan wants to restart 25 nuclear reactors after they were allthrown into emergency shutdowns and mothballs for 4.5 years....

More after the eerie orange glowing blob.

patbahn

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Wednesday August 05, 2015 · 2:11 PM PDT

2015/08/05 · 14:11

I don't know if anyone was paying attention what with some various outrage of the week,
but I thought i would mention that the Coal Industry died. Oh, it may keep kicking in death throes, but, Bob Murray of Murray Energy and Alpha Resources both admitted it's over.

http://www.bloomberg.com/...

Alpha Natural Resources Inc. filed for bankruptcy in Virginia on Monday, becoming the latest victim of the coal industry’s worst downturn in decades.
The second-largest U.S. coal company has lost almost all its market value since 2011,

The Second largest player went Bankrupt....

Now, read below to see what happened.

Poll

126 votes Show Results

Is this the death of coal?

126 votes Vote Now!

Is this the death of coal?

yes

37 votes

12 votes

soon

68 votes

not for 100 years.

9 votes

The Dinosaur and the Mouse. A solar story

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday June 14, 2015 · 11:24 AM PDT

2015/06/14 · 11:24

the Story of the Dinosaur and the Mouse will soon replace the story of the
StoryTortoise and the Hare. Everyone knows the story of the Turtle and the Rabbit
but there is a story of a dinosaur and a mouse

A dinosaur once looked down on a mouse and said. "I eat more then you, look,
I eat a tree an hour, and you, barely chew on a leaf"... The Mouse said, "Well, I shall
eat you up " The dinosaur laughed. but a few days later he saw 10 mice and he laughed,
and a few days later he saw 100 mice and he laughed but not quite so loudly and
then it was 1000 mice and soon enough it was 100,000 mice and the dinosaur saw that the trees were getting stripped and the dinosaur was going further to get a meal,
and then there were a million mice and he noticed they were biting at his tail and his feet. and it hurt more to walk for a meal....

well follow more to see what this means Read More

Poll

23 votes Show Results

Solar surpassing Fossil electricity in the US

23 votes Vote Now!

Solar surpassing Fossil electricity in the US

in 5 years

3 votes

10 years

17 votes

never

3 votes

see my comment

0 votes

Clinton the Inauthentic

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday June 05, 2015 · 1:07 PM PDT

2015/06/05 · 13:07

Granted this is Dana Milbank, but, the Clintons have failed to keep
a distance between themselves and questionable associations
for 40+ years....

You see the FPers always saying "HRC is the best person out of 400 million
to run the country" and "These are old allegations"... Well, is the best
person to run the country really constantly swirling in allegations?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

the allegations are often dubious. But Clinton and her husband have only themselves to blame for making themselves vulnerable to guilt-by-association attacks. They have managed to make Hillary Clinton conspicuously out of tune with the mood of the 2016 electorate: At a time of rising populist backlash against Wall Street, inequality and wealth-purchased privilege, there is no Democrat more closely tied to the rich and the powerful than Clinton. At a time when Democrats need to draw contrasts with Republicans by sticking up for the little guy, Clinton’s solicitation of — and favors for — the powerful make her an inauthentic messenger.

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday May 31, 2015 · 10:52 PM PDT

2015/05/31 · 22:52

It is really interesting reading the arguments for the people who are arguing for
Secretary Clinton in 2016. I'm not trying to start an open war, i have my
reasons to not think she's very good, but, the Clinton-philes argue
that she is the single best candidate for President in 2016.

Ok... Hypothetically.. It's June 2016. Secretary Clinton is in the Poll
Position for the DNC Nomination.

Name the 5 best candidates for VP.

I'd really like to see that hashed out, solely from the HRC Fan club.

Name 5 and list why in the comments.

Are we winning on Climate Change? Can we fix CO2 before it's too late

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday April 15, 2015 · 7:05 AM PDT

2015/04/15 · 07:05

I want to start with, I think it's simple 19th century science that CO2 drives global warming. Anyone who disputes that is a flat-earther, as far as i'm concerned.
I think the vast amount of Co2 we are dumping in the atmosphere
will if left unchecked will cause the earth to become warmer.
I don't think global warming will destroy the planet.
Four billion years old, it's not going away. Our civilization?
Could that collapse? Sure. Could 90% of westerners die?
Could a large industrial civilization unwind leaving a few
generations on a bunch of bushes and clintons chucking rocks
at each other? Yep. Lots of big civilizations have fallen.

I also have some trouble with the complex models because they are sensitive to
initial conditions, which makes them somewhat useless for planning.
Now that said, simple models are probably good enough for policy planning.

However it doesn't mean that fairly simple models, of just CO2 emission can't
be used to look at what's going on.

So I was playing with some fo the models and we may have won.
More below

Poll

19 votes Show Results

Are we on path to get to a 70% CO2 decline

19 votes Vote Now!

Are we on path to get to a 70% CO2 decline

yes, soon

7 votes

6 votes

not in my lifetime.

6 votes

Bankers Breaking Frackers

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday April 03, 2015 · 7:17 AM PDT

2015/04/03 · 07:17

or BBF to the BFFs....

i have been writing a bit about the Frackers.

http://www.dailykos.com/...

well now that Oil has dropped through the floor, we are seeing the results.
http://www.bloomberg.com/...

Lenders are preparing to cut the credit lines to a group of junk-rated shale oil companies by as much as 30 percent in the coming days, dealing another blow as they struggle with a slump in crude prices, according to people familiar with the matter.
Sabine Oil & Gas Corp. became one of the first companies to warn investors that it faces a cash shortage from a reduced credit line, saying Tuesday that it raises “substantial doubt” about the company’s ability to continue as a going concern. About 10 firms are having trouble finding backup financing, said the people familiar with the matter, who asked not to be named because the information hasn’t been announced.

Frackers were on about how great their business was, but,,,
Read More

Why King v Burwell won't be the end

patbahn

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday March 21, 2015 · 8:55 AM PDT

2015/03/21 · 08:55

i wrote a comment a few days ago that's worth a diary http://www.dailykos.com/...

It strikes me that both sides in the Political debate on "King v Burwell" haven't really thought through the whole thing. The Conservatives are sure, if they can somehow get some little comma overturned the entire bill will collapse. The Dems are convinced if the Supremes overturn one element the entire rube goldberg structure will collapse and
both sides are convinced that it will be this. https://www.youtube.com/...

I'm not so sure, I think it will sucketh mightily for a few million people but, it may be useful

more after the orange lepticon

Poll

135 votes Show Results

if the supremes rule with the plaintiffs in King

135 votes Vote Now!

if the supremes rule with the plaintiffs in King

It will completely end ACA

23 votes

it will have some effects in the red states

31 votes

it will crush ER's in red states

75 votes

see my comment

6 votes

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RSS

75% chance of Govt Shutdown. Again.

Salon: Bernie is no Fluke, HRC not Inevitable

King Coal Dethroned

Does Hillary Have a Million Fake Followers

Some People Never Learn: Japan to Restart 43 Reactors.

Last week the Coal industry died.

The Dinosaur and the Mouse. A solar story

Clinton the Inauthentic

An Open Question to the Clinton 16 crowd

Are we winning on Climate Change? Can we fix CO2 before it's too late

Bankers Breaking Frackers

Why King v Burwell won't be the end