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There has been some chatter about President Obama's approval rating improving over the past few weeks.  Here is some fresh evidence from an unlikely source - our frenemy - Rasmussen Reports.  I hope as the ACA signups increase and finish through the end of March and voters appreciate the benefits of Obamacare, this becomes a sign for the rest of 2014. Keep your fingers crossed.  

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Obama's job performance. Forty-seven percent (47%) disapprove (see trends).
The president’s daily job approval rating has been improving in recent days and now stands at its highest level in four months.

I have not seen this posted yet but Vice President Joe Biden was on Hardball with Chris Matthews and said that he does not think the Electoral College vote will be close.  It is also interesting to see the states he quotes as putting our team over the top and to assume that their internal polls and vote numbers are similar to those by Nate Silver and PEC.

Here are the money quotes:

Vice President Joe Biden predicted a clear in in the Electoral College during an appearance on MSNBC's "Hardball" Sunday. "I don’t think it is going to be close in the Electoral College," he said. "I think we are going to win clearly."

Of the battleground states that will decide the election, Biden predicted he and President Obama would win Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa and New Hampshire. He said they had an even chance in Virginia and Florida.

Here's the link:

I will update with a video once it becomes available.  

Please vote and encourage others to do the same.  We are very close to the end - let's finish strong!  


Back by popular demand here is a list of the online instant polls that are open for "freeping" on who people think won the final Presidential Debate.  In my view, there is no doubt who won this debate and let's help set the media narrative.

Like last time, please put more polls and links in the comments and I will add to the body of the message.  GOTV folks - that's all that is left now!!!!!!


CNN (bottom right corner of front page)

ABC News (middle right of the front page)

Yahoo (bottom right corner of front page)

Fox News Insider



CSPAN Facebook

Market Watch

Politico  (main page bottom right)

Telemundo (middle of the page)

Charlotte Observer

Palm Beach Post


Miami Herald (middle on the left side of the page)

NH Union

Bay News

Las Vegas

DFM Politics


Min Star Tribune

NY Daily News

Thanks to commentator ppcodeman for once again putting together a spreadsheet with all online polls and links:


Just a quick diary summarizing the info from the House of Ras today to save everyone from having to give our "friend" Scott any extra hits than necessary.  It seems the president gained a point in the daily tracker and another point in the swing state tracker.  Ras admits all information was collected before last night's debate so there should be additional movement over the next few days.  

I am fired up and motivated after last night - let's keep working hard to GOTV.

The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

In the 11 swing states, the president earns 50% of the vote to Mitt Romney’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) undecided.

That is up one point from yesterday when it was O 49 - R 47.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

This is also up one point from yesterday when it was O 47 - R 49.

A lot of this is statistical noise but I will take what I can get.  


CNN Poll of who won the debate (at bottom of the page):

Another at

CNBC Poll of who won the debate


Washington Post



Fox News Insider

Here are more from comments (hope links work):

Des Moines -

NH -

Miami -

Charlotte -

Cincy -

Miami Herald -

Finally here is a google docs document with links to all of the polls provided by a helpful commentator.

Good night all.  GOTV!  


Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 07:21 AM PDT

Ras - Swing State Tracker - O 49 R 47

by purohit

I thought people could use some good polling news after kos posting earlier today.

After six days of Romney leading the Rasmussen Swing State Tracker, President Obama took the lead today with a two point advantage - 49 to 47.

This is the first time Obama has led on the daily Swing State Survey since October 8. The candidates were tied yesterday after Romney had led for the previous six days, reflecting a modest bounce in his support from the first presidential debate. Prior to that, the president had led for 17 of the previous 19 days, with the candidates tied twice.
This could obviously just be Ras setting up for a Romney "comeback" story later this week.  We should also note the daily tracker still has Romney up by 2 on the President. Regardless I'll take whatever I can get.  

We all have to keep working and banking the early votes.  I expect a good performance from the President tonight.  Let's keep our fingers crossed.  


Fri Oct 12, 2012 at 12:09 PM PDT

IBD Tracking Poll - O 46.4, R 45.7

by purohit

Thought I would share the information from the Investor Business Daily tracking poll.  The IBD poll just began a few days ago and the swings in that short period of time have been quite interesting.

Take a look:

Day 4 - Oct 12 - O 46.4, R 45.7 (Real Clear Politics has this as a tie)
Day 3 - Oct 11 - O 46.0, R 47.0
Day 2 - Oct 10 - O 43.7, R 48.7
Day 1 - Oct 9 - O 45.0, R 47.0

I would caution everyone from jumping for joy or getting depressed from every tracking poll but I am hopeful that O has hit bottom and we are starting to see the signs of a comeback which will hopefully be fully evident by next Monday.


If CNN wanted to be biased, they should at least have done a better job of hiding their desire to make the election a true horse race.

SPECIAL NOTE OF CAUTION #2: The sample of debate-watchers in this poll were 31% Democratic and 33% Republican. That indicates that the sample of debate watchers is about eight points more Republican than an average CNN poll of all Americans, so the respondents were more Republican than the general public.

The Daily Beast has an article out today describing a pseudo-documentary that slimes Ann Dunham, the president’s late mother who passed away 17 years ago, without any facts or proof and is being mailed to swing-state voters.

Michelle Goldberg at the Daily Beast offers the following thoughts about this "documentary":

So this is what it’s come to.

After four years of invective, four years during which the right has called President Obama a traitor, a communist, a fraud, an affirmative-action case, a terrorist-sympathizer and a tyrant, its shrillest voices have been reduced to the most primal insult of all. They are calling Obama’s mother a whore.

The film is being sent to swing state voters and to no one's surprise has found an audience on the right.  
Joel Gilbert’s Dreams From My Real Father, which is being mailed to voters in swing states, promoted by several Tea Party groups and by at least one high-level Republican. At the same time, Dinesh D’Souza’s latest book, Obama’s America—the first of all his works to hit the top spot on The New York Times bestseller list—has a chapter essentially calling Dunham a fat slut. If Obama is reelected, it’s hard to imagine where the right goes from here.

It’s tempting to ignore Dreams From My Real Father because it’s so preposterous. What matters here is not that a lone crank made a vulgar conspiracy video, one that outdoes even birther propaganda in its lunacy and bad taste. It’s that the video is finding an audience on the right.  Gilbert claims that more than a million copies of Dreams From My Real Father have been mailed to voters in Ohio, as well between 80,000 and 100,000 to voters in Nevada and 100,000 to voters in New Hampshire. “We’re putting plans in place, as of next week, to send out another two or three million, just state by state,” he told me.

Of course he won't say who is funding this activity but I got some pretty good guesses. Not shockingly it was shown at the RNC as well so why isn't the press all over this and asking Gov. Romney about its existence and if he supports the views expressed in the video.  
Gilbert won’t say who is funding this distribution, and there’s no way to verify his numbers. Had he not made other right-wing documentaries in the past, I might suspect that the whole thing is a brilliant conceptual art project about the limits of anti-Obama credulity. But the fact is, people are reporting receiving the disk in the mail. Tea Party groups and conservative churches are screening it. It was shown at a right-wing film festival in Tampa during the Republican National Convention, and by Phyllis Schlafly’s Eagle Forum Council in Missouri. Alabama GOP Chairman Bill Armistead recently recommended it during a speech, saying, “I’ve seen it. I verified that it is factual, all of it. People can determine.”
Michelle ends it with my thoughts which are we shouldn't expect any better from our opponents.
After the last four years, perhaps we shouldn’t expect anything more. That itself, however, is telling. In 2001, the Republican activist Barbara Olson was quoted saying, “Look at Bill Clinton’s mother, as opposed to George W.’s mother. Is your mother a barfly who gets used by men? Or is your mother a strong woman who demanded respect for her ideas and always received it?” She was widely condemned and issued an abject apology. D’Souza’s nastier words, by contrast, have barely caused a ripple. Conservative groups haven’t been scandalized by their association with Gilbert’s movie. This is who they are. There’s nothing left to be shocked about.
She is right - This is who we are dealing with my friends. They will try to win at any cost.  Nothing is too low.  They have no ideas, they have a terrible candidate, they don't care about the economy or this country.  All they want to do is defeat this president at any moral or economic cost and we can't let them.  

I am going to focus even more energy to get out the vote and make this election a landslide.  

GOTV.  GOTV.  GOTV.  That's all that matters now.  

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Just saw this article on Politico by Roger Simon.  Not sure if it's snark or full of half truths - never know with Simon - but it seems Boy Wonder has decided to go rogue and started calling Romney "the Stench" to distance himself from the Romney team with over five weeks to go.

Here are some of my favorite passages from the column:

Paul Ryan has gone rogue. He is unleashed, unchained, off the hook.
“I hate to say this, but if Ryan wants to run for national office again, he’ll probably have to wash the stench of Romney off of him,” Craig Robinson, a former political director of the Republican Party of Iowa, told The New York Times on Sunday.
Though Ryan had already decided to distance himself from the floundering Romney campaign, he now feels totally uninhibited. Reportedly, he has been marching around his campaign bus, saying things like, “If Stench calls, take a message” and “Tell Stench I’m having finger sandwiches with Peggy Noonan and will text him later.”
Simon goes on to talk about Ryan's use of a PowerPoint presentation which put the audience to sleep and enraged Team Romney.  
PowerPoint is usually restricted to conference rooms where the doors are locked from the outside. It is, therefore, considered unsuited for large rallies, where people have a means of escape and where the purpose is to energize rather than daze.

Ryan’s PowerPoint slides were officially labeled: “Our Unsustainable Debt (U.S. Debt Held by Public as a Share of Economy),” “Your Share of the Debt,” “Who Funds Our Reckless Spending?” and “How the Government Spends Your Money.”

The Romney campaign was furious. But Ryan reportedly said, “Let Ryan be Ryan and let the Stench be the Stench.”

The article may be complete snark and too good to be true but it's actually being talked about on the interweb and the red staters/freepers in the comments section are already calling Roger Simon a Chicago leftist so there may be some truth to it.

At the very least it's either catty gossip or journalistic humor for us to enjoy.  

Here's a link to the full article called "Paul Ryan vs the Stench" on the Politico website:

2:41 PM PT: Update:  On the question of whether this is snark - I will quote docterry from the comments below who is spot on:

You can't tell snark from news any more

I read the column in Politico so that does exist.  It refers to Ryan giving a Powerpoint presentation out on the stump, so at least that much of the Politico column is true.  But Ryan walking around referring to Romney as 'the Stench'?  And Romney's Boston brain trust referring to Ryan as 'Gilligan'?  I find it hard to believe, but who knows?  As has been said before, the entire Romney campaign has made The Onion irrelevant.


Have not seen this from anyone yet but it seems several swing state polls from a diverse range of polling outfits that were released today show significant movement toward President Obama.  

Andrew Sullivan has already linked to the website and you can find the results and URL below the fold.  The linked website will update with today's polls as they are released.

Cheers on a good start to the week.  


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There is a frightening piece in Wall Street Journal regarding the revival of the Taliban in Afghanistan.  Those of you who have been on this site for a while know that the Taliban and Afghanistan are a particular area of interest for me and the focus of my diaries.  

More about the article after the fold.

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