Web author Michael Collins has published a new piece based on an examination of the 2004 polls conducted by the National Election Pool, which reveals that broad assumptions about voter turnout in urban areas appears to be incorrect, and that George Walker Bush's miraculous victory in 2004 is doubly miraculous considering the erosion in his rural base.
The "surge" in Bush supporters supposedly came from WASP-ish instant voters that spontaneously generated themselves in large urban centers and pulled the "W" lever. It certainly didn't come from the traditional Democratic base, and what's more, these phantom voters were mute apparitions that wafted into polling stations, and did not share their inspiration with pollsters.
We're told that "security moms" and energized evangelicals brought it home for Bush, but maybe, just maybe, the energy didn't come from the base. Below find a few paragraphs from Collins' piece.
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