With so many polls flying left and right it's a good idea to step back and take a look at the bigger picture. I think it's natural for many of us here (I'll confess to doing it) to getting excited every time we see a good poll and nervous every time we see a bad poll.
The problem is that even when you get past the technical issues (margin of error, confident interval, good sampling, etc) and try to read through some of the general polling bias many polls use, we still have a lot of things working in our favor that polls can't show.
The pollsters aren't reflecting the massive GOTV effort we will put in place, the fact that undecideds break against the incumbent, and that overall our base is mobilized more than ever before (and that we actually really like Kerry and don't just hate Bush).
Mark Shields helps put things in perspective.
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