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Sat Dec 24, 2011 at 02:46 PM PST

How Grass Roots works on the Right.

by ytterbius

Over on FB, the Tea Party Patriots are deleting any comments that even suggest that Tea Party Members might not be in full support of George Bush.  You can see for yourself at http://www.facebook.com/...

It's nice for some, I suppose, to be able to look at the World and have faith that all is as it is preferred, even if that involves forgetting about the fact that the appearance is demonstrably the result of direct manipulation.

Merry Xmas All.  :)

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Sun Oct 30, 2011 at 12:53 AM PDT

Solar for OWS

by ytterbius

So the cops have taken away their generators and fuel.

I'm cash-poor, but motivation-rich, so I've sent a request to a list of Solar Manufacturers, as well as various other places, for donations of Solar Charging Stations to get to OWS and get some charging up to replace the bikes.

It strikes me that somebody in the industry would like to show their product in one of its perfect niche's; the production of remote power.  Talk about a showcase for products, in the midst of New York City.

Of course, I have to wonder whether it would be helpful, but on thinking about it, I'm sure it could be if it were done right.
 

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Sun Oct 16, 2011 at 08:51 PM PDT

Video Spiel on Naked Short Selling

by ytterbius

I put this together last night.

As many times as I've written similar things, it seems to be true that some prefer not to read long entries, and would rather watch / listen.

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Sun Jul 31, 2011 at 12:54 AM PDT

Economic Terrorism

by ytterbius

Per the Fed, in 2007 the top 1% of Americans brought home a share of 21.4% of all the Income (not Net Worth, only Income). The Dollar amount was 2097.3 Billion Dollars. The current budget crisis requires about 4 Trillion Dollars in Savings or Revenues over 10 years. Over ten years, that top 1% is worth about 21 Trillion Dollars. THIS is what the Republicans in Congress are throwing us all under the bus for.

http://www.federalreserve.gov/...

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Mon Jul 25, 2011 at 12:58 PM PDT

US Markets - Short Sale Data

by ytterbius

It's been quite some time since I've posted regularly, and that isn't going to change at the moment.  However, I wanted to link to a project that I've been working on for about a year now.

I've been collecting Daily feeds on US Short Sale Volumes, and putting the data out on the web in the form of charts, along with various ticker data for US Public Companies.

Examples:

LDK

FSLR

SOLR

The data is not complete, as there are some Exchanges that are not fully on board with the prospect of public distribution of short data, but it should be somewhat representative, at least.

If you would like to Take Action, Please contact the SEC and request free public access to critical market data.  This is the only way to level the playing field between the Corporate Behemoth and the Retail Investor.

More Data and Functionality is on the way.

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Wed Oct 27, 2010 at 09:20 PM PDT

Strange call in Whatcom Country WA

by ytterbius

A guy from the league of conservation voters (supposedly) just called me. He asked if I was supporting candidate X. I asked if X was Democrat (I didn't recognize the name) and he said yes. I said "yeah." Ok fine, but then the guy asks if I am mailing in my ballot, and whether I'd be dropping it off at the mailbox at my home, a dropbox, or at the post office. I told him post office but didn't think to ask why that mattered till after I was off the line.

So, maybe I'm just paranoid, but there's no reason that anyone would have to know my method for getting my mail-in ballot to the Sec State.

If anyone else gets such a call, please ask some followup questions.

Looking at my phone record, I now remember that it was an anonymous caller.  No record of the phone number was left on my blackberry.

Discuss

Wed Sep 01, 2010 at 07:45 AM PDT

My 2011 Solar Demand Prediction

by ytterbius

I set out a week or so ago to try my hand at putting together an estimate for 2011 Global Demand for PV Solar.  I started rough, and started adding details.  I put out numbers and chewed on them a bit; considering the variables that I see in the Global Economy, and in the Solar Industry.

In the case of a double-dip recession in the US, which takes us to a state of barbarism, then all bets are off.  You’re on your own.

However, if we can avoid a deflationary spiral, and if the powers that be can keep the US Economy just barely growing for awhile, then I think that continued Global Growth could lead to some interesting events.

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Sun Jul 11, 2010 at 04:30 PM PDT

Obama's Solar Fail

by ytterbius

The other day, Obama announced $2 Billion dollars to be made available to two US Solar Projects.

The first one is for the production of a Thermal Solar plant, and it doesn't worry me.

The second is to support the construction of two Manufacturing Plants to produce PV Panels, by Abound Solar.  This worries me, because I'm confident that it's a bad long term investment.

I didn't follow up on the announcement right away, though I had looked up both projects briefly.  I knew that Abound made Thin Film PV, but until a moment ago, I hadn't wondered WHAT KIND of thin film they were using.  My heart sunk as I found that Abound Solar produces panels from Cadmium Telluride (CdTe).

What is he thinking???  Well, he doesn't know that he's been given very bad advice.

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The other day I mentioned Naked Short Selling.  In further explanation of the process, here's a video just out by Deepcapture.com.  Deep Capture is an organization run by Patrick Byrne, the CEO of Overstock.com that researches and activates against Naked Short Selling.  

Take a watch.

Naked short selling - redefining systemic risk from Judd Bagley on Vimeo.

Discuss

To Whom it may Concern,

Should Naked Shorting be banned? Absolutely. Strict Regulations and Serious Consequences Must be Established by the US Government to End the practice of Naked Short Selling.

It's called a "Market" for a Reason.

Some years ago, I began a process of learning about Markets, and nowhere did I ever learn that a fundamental property of a functioning market was the capacity for a seller to take a buyer's money, and NOT deliver the "product." The very concept of Naked Short Selling is contrary to Basic Market Philosophy.

The SEC, itself, has made the following quite definitive statement; "in addition, where a seller of securities fails to deliver securities on settlement date, in effect the seller unilaterally converts a securities contract (which is expected to settle within the standard three-day settlement period) into an undated futures-type contract, to which the buyer might not have agreed, or that might have been priced differently." By this definition, Naked Short Selling of stocks is certainly akin to Fraud. The buyer in this case has not agreed to the purchase of an undated futures contract. The buyer has agreed to pay for a share of Stock, which is not received.

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Tue Apr 14, 2009 at 10:49 PM PDT

More fun with Solar Scenarios.

by ytterbius

Say you want to buy a solar plant.  

The cost of the install + Interest will equal some amount of money to be paid out per month.  I'll call this Outgoing$Monthly.  

Power generated per month will be sold on the market for some amount of money.  I'll call this Incoming$Monthly.

Set Incoming$Monthly = Outgoing$Monthly.

This would be the point at which your investment broke even on a monthly basis (not including maintenance cost at the moment, this is just to include interest expense into the equation).  It's not going to be quite right, because of seasonal variation, as mentioned below, but I'm not looking for anything exact, just a rough way to start gauging cost / benefits.

The end result will be a relationship between the Installation Cost per Watt, Interest Rate, and Required Sales Price of Energy produced in order to break even.

I'll skip to the chase, for those that don't want to read through the whole thing.

Cost/kWp ($/Wp) = Rate ($/kWh) * C2/C1

Note that the assumed interest rate for purposes of this post has been set and absorbed by C1, and the Insolation Ratio has been absorbed into C2..  Other assumptions and logic are pointed out below.  

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"There should be no reason to borrow stock. One should be able to sell stock at will, regardless of whether the people that are manipulating the stock up are willing to lend it to short sellers...There is absolutely no economic reason why America should cause and force short sellers to borrow stock."

This statement comes from a guy that has been instrumental in the removal of short selling regulations, like of the uptick rule in 2007, and as shown above, he believes that he should be able to sell unlimited shares of stock to unaware investors, which he does not own, and which he will not deliver.

This is a powerful man who has the gall to make the above statement before the public on Bloomberg news.  I'd like to see him on the Daily Show, he'd get a more thorough treatment.  This is a guy that deserves some righteous public anger.

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