Dk-logo-med
Help Join the list
News
Front Page
Elections
Labor
Comics
Radio  
Community
Recommended
Most Shared
Recent Diaries
Community Spotlight
GROUPS
Readers and Book Lovers
Science Matters
ClassWarfare Newsletter
More...
Action
Donnaedwardssenatepage
Endorsements 2016

Check out our slate of Daily Kos-endorsed candidates

Presobama300x300
Add your name: Thanks Obama, for taking leadership on gun violence
Congress refuses to stand up to the NRA, so President Obama is taking executive action on gun violence.
Bundy-terrorist
Sign if you agree: Oregon federal building occupiers are terrorists
WTF? A group of (white) armed right-wing extremists occupy a federal building—and they don't even get charged with trespass?
Trump-splash
Sign the petition: Hold Donald Trump accountable for his lies
Donald Trump has taken lying to a completely new level. He—and his supporters–must be held accountable.
Change Blog Image

el ganador

el ganador
Blog Stream Groups Following Profile
New poll: How big the bounce? [follow-up]
By el ganador
2008/08/29 · 20:40

Two days ago I posited the question - how big do you think the bounce is going to be?

I guessed +10, and out of 212 votes, the consensus guess was +4 to +6

I think things have changed yet again in this race yet again ,so I'm revising to a +12 bounce

Read More
Poll
228 votes Show Results

how big will the bounce be?

228 votes Vote Now!

how big will the bounce be?

"negative bounce"
3%
6 votes
zero
1%
2 votes
+1-2
2%
5 votes
+3-4
5%
12 votes
+5-6
13%
30 votes
+7-8
17%
38 votes
+9-10
26%
59 votes
+11-12
16%
37 votes
+13-14
4%
9 votes
+15-16
5%
11 votes
+17-18
3%
6 votes
+19-20
1%
3 votes
greater than +20
4%
10 votes
+10 points - what's your bet?
By el ganador
2008/08/28 · 05:46

I've watched every day of the DNC so far, practically gavel-to-gavel. And I think several factors are going to come together as real post-convention polling starts rolling in.

I think we're going to get a plus-10 bounce out of this convention.

What do you think?

Read More
Poll
212 votes Show Results

How big's the bump?

212 votes Vote Now!

How big's the bump?

less than -5
4%
8 votes
between -5 and -2
0%
1 vote
between -2 and 0
2%
4 votes
zero nada nothing
6%
13 votes
between 0 and +2
12%
25 votes
between +2 and +4
18%
39 votes
between +4 and +6
25%
54 votes
between +6 and +8
14%
30 votes
between +8 and +10
8%
16 votes
between +10 and +15
6%
13 votes
greater than +15
4%
9 votes
President Obama Declares 2016 Chicago Olympics 'Open To The World'
By el ganador
2008/08/09 · 14:54

August 19, 2016--CHICAGO--President Barack Obama welcomed the world to his hometown of Chicago this evening in the spectacular opening to the 31st Olympiad. Declaring the Summer Games "open to the world and its athletes", the games were a bittersweet reminder that Obama's second term is nearing its end.

Widely credited with helping to secure the games for Chicago during his first term in 2009, Obama noted that this represented the return of America "as a symbol of light and hope in the world."

Obama's two terms have been widely hailed as the most successful in modern history, from the international rebuilding effort in Iraq nearing completion to the stellar response to Hurricane Maria in 2011.

(click for more)

Read More
Poll
90 votes Show Results

President Obama's Greatest Success

90 votes Vote Now!

President Obama's Greatest Success

landing the 2016 Games for Chicago
4%
4 votes
Internationalizing the rebuilding of Iraq
6%
5 votes
Diplomacy during N Korea fall, Korean reunification
1%
1 vote
Avoiding economic collapse in first term due to Bush debt
37%
33 votes
Investigation & prosecution of Bush war crimes
17%
15 votes
Energy initiative of 2010
13%
12 votes
US Aid during the West Antarctic sea level disaster
2%
2 votes
revitalizing US image at home and abroad
20%
18 votes
What does HRC want? Congress. All of it.
By el ganador
2008/06/04 · 19:53

SO I was watching the speeches last night with a roomful of friends - Obama supporters all of us. And while we were watching Hillary's speech - which was an excellent "campaign" speech, BTW - if she'd been campaigning like that from the beginning she'd be the nominee - as I was watching that non-concession, FU speech, I was asking the same thing everyone else was:

"What in the hell does she want?"

It bothered me all night - I dreamt about it for god's sake - and this morning it hit me:

She wants Congress. The whole thing.

Read More
Poll
106 votes Show Results

Hillary Clinton wants:

106 votes Vote Now!

Hillary Clinton wants:

Veep
15%
16 votes
Sen Maj Leader
14%
15 votes
All of Congress, like ganador says
29%
31 votes
a Supreme Court seat
3%
3 votes
pie
32%
34 votes
"to be left alone..."
7%
7 votes
SUSA: Obama has HUGE lead in VA
By el ganador
2008/02/10 · 08:19

Not sure this has been diaried yet - I'm hitting SUSA, and their screaming headline is that "Exclusive Survey Shows Obama, McCain with Big Leads in Virginia Polls".

Clicky for more....

Read More
Poll
320 votes Show Results

This SUSA poll

320 votes Vote Now!

This SUSA poll

is good news for Obama
20%
65 votes
is great news for Obama
32%
102 votes
is unbelievable news for Obama
19%
62 votes
is pie
28%
91 votes
SUSA: Washington State for Obama + How To Caucus
By el ganador
2008/02/07 · 05:38

Now that Super Tuesday is behind us - and leaves the race as evenly tied as it could possibly get...I wanted to share some good news with you out of one of the Feb 9th states: my very own Washington.

Read More
Poll
330 votes Show Results

On 2/9, Obama wins

330 votes Vote Now!

On 2/9, Obama wins

all three, WA, NE, and LA
83%
273 votes
only WA and NE
4%
12 votes
only WA and LA
5%
16 votes
only LA and NE
2%
5 votes
only LA
1%
3 votes
only WA
2%
5 votes
only NE
1%
2 votes
none of them
1%
3 votes
pie
3%
11 votes
SUPER WEDNESDAY for Barack Obama
By el ganador
2008/02/06 · 05:37

OK - so the day is almost over - a huge day. Hillary will spin claim that she won because she won the big states. Barack's team will spin that they won more states - and rightfully - that when all the delegates are counted that it is essentially a tie (or even ahead).

Let's change the story.

Read More
Poll
1333 votes Show Results

Our turkee

1333 votes Vote Now!

Our turkee

makes Obama stronger
100%
1333 votes
Feb 18, 2004: The Day Dean Broke My Heart - In Sympathy To Edwards Folks
By el ganador
2008/01/30 · 21:36

[Author's Note: I have spent the last three months horribly torn between Edwards and Obama - literally almost changing my mind on a daily basis. I am incredibly saddened that JRE had to suspend his campaign today, and while I'm relieved that it makes my strategy much simpler for the WA State caucuses on 2/9...I still hurt for you hardcore Edwards folks]

There are a great many days that are burned into my brain for some reason or another in my life. First Kiss, playing in the mud, the time I almost drowned at the beach, being the officiant at my best friends wedding...

But on this day, the day that John Edwards has suspended his campaign, the one I keep thinking about is from almost exactly four years ago: Feb 18th, 2004 - the day Howard Dean suspended his amazing, game-changing, inspiring, heart-breaking run for the presidency.

Read More
Poll
70 votes Show Results

John Edwards and Howard Dean

70 votes Vote Now!

John Edwards and Howard Dean

are great men
21%
15 votes
deserve our thanks
14%
10 votes
are changing America
14%
10 votes
got us to stand up
19%
13 votes
made us believe again
23%
16 votes
both like pie
9%
6 votes
Brokered? "The" Math
By el ganador
2008/01/24 · 06:40

OK, I don't actually mean to have "the Math" in a Rovian sense.

But I'm looking at what we've seen so far in the race, and I'm wondering more and more if we're going to have a brokered convention.

As we approach South Carolina, it looks like BHO might win solidly, which will then mean we go into Feb 5th with 2 wins for Hillary, 2 wins for Barack, and John in 3rd, collecting delegates.

NOTE: Yes, I know we had MI and will have FL before 2/5 - but with no delegates awarded they are meaningless.

So, what, I thought, would it look like on the morning of Feb 6th, if this pattern continues?

Read More
Poll
107 votes Show Results

Brokered convention

107 votes Vote Now!

Brokered convention

a certainty, get used to it
7%
7 votes
a distinct possibility
47%
50 votes
possible, but unlikely
37%
40 votes
absolutely never going to happen
6%
6 votes
some kind of sweet, sweet pie
4%
4 votes
Worry over Obama's "fate": a subtle racism
By el ganador
2008/01/21 · 20:37

Yesterday I read Barack Obama's speech at Ebenezer Baptist in Atlanta, the home congregation of Dr. Martin Luther King, and I wept with hope and joy that someone so compassionate, eloquent, and intelligent is running a strong campaign for the White House.

Today, I read an article in my local paper, the Seattle Times, re-published from the NYT, that examines the idea that people "worry" about the fate that Obama might face as a prominent black leader.

Almost 40 years after King's assassination, the streets that bear his name are alive with hope that Obama may fulfill King's dream, but also fraught with fear that he could suffer King's fate. Each step of the way, Obama's progress is being measured against an ingrained belief that, in the end, "America" won't let a black man become president.

It made me furious.

Read More
Poll
81 votes Show Results

Worry over Obama's "fate" is

81 votes Vote Now!

Worry over Obama's "fate" is

real, and an obstacle
6%
5 votes
real, but not stopping him or me
49%
40 votes
hyperbole
4%
3 votes
a way of tearing him down through "concern trolling"
27%
22 votes
just a media storyline
5%
4 votes
not a concern, America is really beyond that
1%
1 vote
some kind of pie
7%
6 votes
Nevada results
By el ganador
2008/01/19 · 19:59

Am I the only one compulsively watching this site refresh?

http://www.nvdems08.com/

11:55 (approx)
STATEWIDE TOTAL (delegates)
Clinton 1   16.67%  
Obama 5   83.33%  
Total precincts reporting   0.34%

Read More
FL: C40; O28; E19 = brokered convention?
By el ganador
2008/01/09 · 20:18

I just stumbled across this Florida poll on Pollster:

POLL: Datamar Florida Primary

A new Datamar automated survey of likely primary voters in Florida (conducted 1/5 through 1/7) finds:

   * Among 541 likely Democratic primary voters, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (40% to 28%) in a statewide primary; former Sen. JOhn Edwards trails at 19%.

   * Among 481 likely Republican primary voters, former Gov. Mike Huckabee runs at 24%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 20%, Sen. John McCain at 18%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 16%, former Sen. Fred Thompson at 9%.

   * All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 4.2% for likely Democratic primary voters and 4.5% for likely Republican primary voters.

Read More
Poll
112 votes Show Results

Brokered convention

112 votes Vote Now!

Brokered convention

never gonna happen
29%
32 votes
might happen and will be a disaster for us
10%
11 votes
might happen, and will be rad, just like on West Wing
45%
50 votes
is a certainty
5%
6 votes
is delicious, delicious pie
12%
13 votes
RSS