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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: 8/16 (60 comments)

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  •  Would be funny if this pushed Michaud into (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    The Caped Composer

    the Senate race against Snowe. I mean, it would be an uphill climb, but it Michaud may be the Dems strongest candidate.

    •  If this map does come to pass and (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      SLDemocrat, jj32

      Michaud is pushed into the Senate race, just how dire are our chances to keep the open seat? At this point, I think I'd rather sacrifice a House seat to gain a Senate seat, because I think we'd keep the Senate seat for a long, long time and because we do have other opportunities to have a net gain of seats, even if we give one up in Maine. Still, it'd be nice to be competitive in both races.

      •  In the event Snowe were to win the primary (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen, jncca

        This would be a potential sacrifice of a House seat in order to lose yet another Senate election against Snowe.

        The Democrats do need a good candidate, in case Snowe is defeated by an extremist in the Republican primaries. But it shouldn't be either current Representative. Taking the House is as important as keeping the Senate.

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Tue Aug 16, 2011 at 09:52:08 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Very good point. (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen, askew, jncca, MichaelNY

          I think Jensen of PPP had it right back in May or March when he said that this is the perfect race for a Democrat in Maine without a lot to lose. If you run against Snowe as a Republican or as an Independent, you'll get trounced, but nobody will blame you for it. But if you win the nomination and she's not in the race, then you could easily become a senator. Luckily for our side, we aren't without options, even if there's no obvious candidate.

    •  Snowe is likely to drub any Democrat (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jj32, James Allen, DCCyclone

      if she gets through the Republican primary.

      Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

      by MichaelNY on Tue Aug 16, 2011 at 09:50:13 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Her numbers with republicans seem worse (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen, askew, MichaelNY

        than people like Lisa Murkowski and Michael Castle's month  before the primary. If the tea party goes all in on her like they did with Charlie Crist, I have a feeling she could very well lose, they just need to find the right republican to finish the job.

        •  They don't seem worse; they are worse. (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen, askew, MichaelNY

          The last time I checked, she was barely above water within her own party and didn't even crack 50 percent. Maybe that's changed slightly, but I doubt she's up to the level where Castle and Murkowski were. And neither of those individuals had nearly the track record that Snowe has in irritating the base.

      •  You're probably right, but I'd still like to (0+ / 0-)

        see a poll. Although self funders dont have the best track record, I think that might be Dems best chance here. With the approval rating of Congress so horrible, we need someone who can run as an outsider, and run lots of ads reminding people that Snowe is part of that Congress.

        •  She's part of that Congress (0+ / 0-)

          but no-one can persuasively call her an insane maniac who wants the country to default on its debts. When she thinks it's essential to break with her party, she does - just not nearly as much as we wish she would. I just don't see any evidence that she has any likelihood of being ousted from the left.

          Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

          by MichaelNY on Wed Aug 17, 2011 at 02:07:28 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

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