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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: 9/19 (115 comments)

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  •  Again, I'm all for Senator Baldwin based on what (0+ / 0-)

    I know.  But I think our discussion of this a little while back raised some good reasons for concern--namely, Baldwin's considerable under-performance in 2000, possibly (check?) her last really contested race.  She squeaked by with a two-point win while Gore crushed in her district (even as it was then drawn--twohundretseventy put it at D+7 or 8) and, by my precinct-Excelling (so I could be wrong) while Dem state assembly candidates won like 59.55% of the vote in her district.  Someone said "at least she did better than Dan Seals", which is not that great.  If there were a recent candidate who won by 2 in a D+8 district in a neutral year, as twohundretseventy described that race, we'd likely all consider them a weak campaigner.

    Now, that's one data point from a long time ago, and she could easily have improved as a campaigner and/or been facing a uniquely good local opponent.  I'd love to know more about that race.  But it's the most recent info we have about how she does in a toughly contested race, unless one of her recent elections was actually seriously contested.  So it's worth remembering.  But she seems to have a good reputation these days, and I'm hoping that means she has improved.

    26, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

    by Xenocrypt on Mon Sep 19, 2011 at 08:50:00 AM PDT

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