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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: What on earth happened to Jennifer Brunner? (314 comments)

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  •  As always, so much depends on the economy. (2+ / 0-)
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    SaoMagnifico, MichaelNY

    Unemployment claims declined sharply today to 391,000, falling below that kind of, sort of magic 400,000 mark. That's a good sign, but will it be followed by stronger employment growth?

    If we get up to an average of 200,000 or so jobs per month long enough for him to make the case that things are better, I think it will win win fairly easily. (Anything higher just pads his margin of victory; something much higher means a massive route.) We do need to create more than that, obviously, but I'd guess that the 200,000 or so figure, which is what we were seeing in the beginning of the year, would at least make people feel more hopeful. And who knows, perhaps that would release some pent up demand, if any, leading slowly but surely to ever higher job growth--say, 220,000 jobs per month rather than 200,000.

    He's doing the bare minimum by campaigning on the jobs bill. He should keep doing it. But will it pass? I'm not sure. I'd like to think the Republicans are crazy and callous enough to let the payroll tax cut expire, but every time I expect them to stop the madness, they double down.

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