Skip to main content

View Diary: Will the Rs have a brokered convention this year? (132 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  All those intermediate steps (0+ / 0-)

    There's many a slip twixt the cup and the lip.

    The problem with the idea that anyone designed the current way of doing things (I'm not going to call it a system, because I really don't think its features are at all systematic.) is that it leaves so many hard-to-control steps in between where you locate the brokering -- very early and among the money guys and gals -- and what still has to happen to win the nomination, x number of votes on the convention floor.  If you're even a little bit off in your calculation of the margin in some primary, you're off by dozens to hundreds in delegates.  And that's in primary elections whose unpredictable turnout make them much harder to predict, even the day before the election, much less back some time in Year 3 when they're lining up their early money.  Caucuses are even harder to control, more subject to centrifugal forces and the luck of who can be attracted to these even lower turn-out events.

    If there were any intelligence at work here that wanted to take the nomination decision out of the conventions' hands and place it anywhere else, they would have done a better job of it.  I see this as analogus to the so-called, and wrong-headedly so-called, Imperial Presidency vs Congress.  I think it much more realistic to see the process of power passing from Congress to president as that of an abdicating Congress than a grasping president.  We have abdicating conventions, abdicating parties, and their powerlessness has left a vacuum that has been filled by a willy-nilly non-system.  Of course non-systems favor the wealthy.  The less the Republic's affairs are managed by public institutions like legislatures and conventions, of course the more inertia throws them into the hands of the back-room boys and girls.  

    If this wasn't the work of inertia and entropy, if it had been a mechanism commissioned by the people with the money, the work would be more intelligently wrought, less Rube Goldberg-like.

    We should have destroyed the presidency before Obama took office. Too late now.

    by gtomkins on Thu Oct 20, 2011 at 08:40:37 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site