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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Karl Rove's newest target is Elizabeth Warren (166 comments)

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  •  Oh (5+ / 0-)

    Oh, don't underestimate Romney. He'll have lots of $ and an organization that any candidate would love to have. Newt is starting to staff up in the early states now, but Romney is way ahead of him on a national level. What might help Newt if he maintains his Newtmenum is that Ron Paul is organizing the hell out of the caucus states - something that was left to Romney back in 2008 - and may prevent Romney from sweeping those. Newt might snatch the nomination away from Romney, but it won't be in a blowout.

    I am Zornorph; the one who comes by night to the neighbor's yard.

    by Zornorph on Fri Nov 11, 2011 at 07:01:53 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  If nothing else (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      The Caped Composer, MichaelNY

      A drawn out primary pushes Romney to the right, especially with Newt as main opponent.  A drawn out Newt candidacy also turns a decent amount of moderates off or back to tossup/Lean D, so that's a GE upside.

    •  Citizens United/Evangelicals (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Zornorph, JGibson, Setsuna Mudo, MichaelNY

      There are hard-right organizations that have an extensive network already in place. I'm sure Newt could have an infrastructure up incredibly quickly while blanketing early states in advertising if these organizations coalesce behind him.

      Also isn't he based in Atlanta? That gives him a foothold in the South, plus he's next door to South Carolina and North of Florida.

      One poll doesn't make Newt favored or Romney an "also ran", but I'm just saying if this is the trajectory of the race Newt could probably have something in place really quickly.

      •  Newt (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        itskevin, Setsuna Mudo, MichaelNY

        Newt effectively lives in Virginia these days, and he was born in PA, so he's a transplant to GA. Not that he doesn't have a bit of juice down there, but he's not a 'true southerner' the way Rick Perry is. But I do give him the inside track to SC given how Perry and Cain are imploding. Romney did quite poorly there in 2008.

        I am Zornorph; the one who comes by night to the neighbor's yard.

        by Zornorph on Fri Nov 11, 2011 at 07:16:44 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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