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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Karl Rove's newest target is Elizabeth Warren (166 comments)

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  •  I can't get worked up by this until we know (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    what SUSA defines as Northeastern Pennsylvania. Also, doesn't it strike you as odd that Obama would be performing well in Western Central Pennsylvania, as in only five points behind Romney, which just has to include a lot of those counties that went for McCain?

    On the other hand, if this poll is accurate, I guess it's good he's doing so well in the Southeastern part of the state.

    Does anyone know what SUSA's track record in the state is?

    •  SUSA's crosstabs have always been wacky (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      It's a weird poll, though. I'd like to know who commissioned it. Asking questions about VP selections, not polling Herman Cain or Gov. Perry? It's odd. It's not worth throwing out, not by a long shot, but it is an odd poll.

      Seems pretty strange that Romney is tied in Pennsylvania at the same time he's down by nine points(!) in Ohio, though.

      Democrat, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Fri Nov 11, 2011 at 08:45:25 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  I guess (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      But even if I bring NEPA frther south toward Philly or West the numbers get no worse for Obama in 2008, since the counties to the west are small and offer smaller vote totals and further south towards Philly went for Obama.  Maybe Lehigh flips to Romney in 2012 but that wouldn't drive the whole of NEPA and the rest of the area would still need to flip 20% towards Romney to make these numbers happen.

      I guess my concern isn't whether this is a demographic (i.e. race, gender, etc) which gets extrapolated.  76% of respondents were landlines, and with landlines you can tell where people live.  So I'm wondering if the Region question was asked or determined based on landline.  It seems an odd question to get wrong, especially with 80+ people being polled in NEPA.

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