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View Diary: Guess the numbers (438 comments)

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  •  Prediction Contest (4.00)
    Kerry 26%
    Edwards 24%
    Dean 22%
    Gephardt 19%

    No idea about turnout.  I grew up in Illinois and live in California, so I am only eligible to vote out here and posthumously in Chicago.

    Seriously, though, I think that the baggage Dean has had to endure, in conjunction with what must seem like new faces in Kerry and Edwards, probably serves as the explainer here.  While the mud may be slung back at Kerry and Edwards, the amount of time for it to stick will be too little, too late for both Dean and Gephardt.

    Still, it's only one state, and it does not negate the financial advantages of first Dean and then Clark.

    Kerry in Iowa, who knows in New Hampshire, and Clark by the time the dust settles.

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