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View Diary: Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation Poll: Democrats retake lead on generic ballot (133 comments)

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  •  ND-SEN (7+ / 0-)

    Maybe an outlier, but I'll take it: http://www.politico.com/...

    •  Not outlier until something to compare to (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      It's the only poll out there, and Mellman is a top national pollster with a reputation to protect.  And he nailed Harry Reid's win, as Reid's pollster, when no one else did.

      That said, I bet if the NRSC released private numbers, they might show Berg up 5.  But I bet their internals don't show anything better than that for Berg...Mellman I bet is in the rough ballpark of where it really is.

      Obama trailing Romney by 14 helps validate Mellman's poll.  That's why they released that number, they know they need some other data point to establish cred with the campaign media.

      I won't call this a tossup based on one poll.  And unfortunately ND doesn't get polled a lot--only Rasmussen did it much last year.

      43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Wed Nov 23, 2011 at 05:12:25 AM PST

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      •  Let's be fair (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone, MichaelNY

        After Hoeven announced last time around, there wasn't really anything to see in the Senate race.

        Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 25 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

        by NMLib on Wed Nov 23, 2011 at 09:45:39 AM PST

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        •  Sure, but Berg ain't Hoeven. I now expect... (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          NMLib, MichaelNY

          ...there will be more polling in ND-Sen, at least unless and until Berg pulls away if that ever happens.  (I don't expect Heitkamp to ever pull away absent a big Berg scandal, she'll have to win by the skin of her teeth.)

          43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Wed Nov 23, 2011 at 10:04:52 AM PST

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