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View Diary: On The Emergence Of China, Or, Zhou Knew This Was Coming (143 comments)

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  •  not necessarily. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    fake consultant, lotlizard

    I know where you're probably coming from with that, which is "socio-cultural auto immune theory."  Purges beget purges, in a kind of auto immune reaction that spirals out of control into a bloodbath.

    But China's present leadership are rational people who are not given to the kinds of dramatic excesses that would upset their steady economic and technical progress.  So the likelihood of another Cultural Revolution developing, is relatively small.  

    All they have to do is sentence a few hundred or a few thousand corrupt officials and businesspeople to prison terms and a few dozen to the firing squad, publicize all of that, and the rest will straighten up and cool it.  

    Either way, we shall see...

    "Minus one vote for the Democrat" equals "plus one vote for the Republican." Arithmetic doesn't care about your feelings.

    by G2geek on Tue Nov 29, 2011 at 07:06:41 AM PST

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    •  as i mentioned above... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Betty Pinson

      ...the trick for the ccp is that admitting that, say, tens of thousands of officials are corrupt begins to call into question the overall ability of the regime to govern.

      purging the corrupt can increase confidence in the ability to govern...but there is a tipping point beyond which you start thinking "these guys are so corrupt you could kill everyone and the last one alive would collect a bribe from all the others", and that's when a government loses its people, typically for the last time.

      "...this election has never been about me. it's about you."--barack obama

      by fake consultant on Tue Nov 29, 2011 at 07:36:33 AM PST

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      •  so they manage the numbers.... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        mookins

        .... to steer clear of that tipping point.  

        All it will take are a few handfuls of well-publicized executions, preferably carried live on TV, and the rest of the corrupt officials and business people will cool it right quick.  

        Where do you think we would be in the US right now if the CEOs of Goldman, BofA, and a few others of those, had been sentenced to 20-year prison terms?  

        "Minus one vote for the Democrat" equals "plus one vote for the Republican." Arithmetic doesn't care about your feelings.

        by G2geek on Tue Nov 29, 2011 at 07:53:24 AM PST

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        •  heh (0+ / 0-)
          Where do you think we would be in the US right now if the CEOs of Goldman, BofA, and a few others of those, had been sentenced to 20-year prison terms?

          In my moments of darker humor, I envision the guillotine and primetime coverage on Faux.....

          The money power of the country will endeavor to prolong its reign by working on the prejudices of the people until all wealth is aggregated in a few hands and the republic is destroyed. ~ Abraham Lincoln

          by ozsea1 on Tue Nov 29, 2011 at 11:44:54 AM PST

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      •  It's like admitting a lot of Catholic priests have (0+ / 0-)

        … abused children, though. As bad as the wave of revelations may get, I doubt there's a tipping point beyond which the Roman Catholic church is going to cease to exist.

        48forEastAfrica - Donate to Oxfam The Dutch kids' chorus Kinderen voor Kinderen wishes all the world's children freedom from hunger, ignorance, and war.

        by lotlizard on Tue Nov 29, 2011 at 11:27:33 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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