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View Diary: On The Emergence Of China, Or, Zhou Knew This Was Coming (143 comments)

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  •  Now there's a huge (1+ / 0-)
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    leap to conclusions on the basis of evidence that warrants no such thing.  Trafficking with blythe facile grandiosity in the fates of countries, continents, and worlds is a hallmark of Hofstadter's famous Paranoid Style.

    We do seem headed for a world with about five social/economic megablocs (North America/Caribbean, Europe, East Asia, South Asia, and Brazil-Africa) and several secondary ones.  Each of them with particular advantages and particular difficulties, and in rough parity with each other.  Their competition and jealousy is probably the most unproductive aspect.  (I mean, what if one such megabloc were to- as implausible as it is- trump or conquer another completely?  It can't last and would only set everybody back decades.)   Their accomplishments in e.g. technology, diminishing poverty, environment preservation, in creating social justice and good order and intellectual advances are what endures.

    •  Not sure about those blocs (0+ / 0-)

      Some are along economic or hemispheric lines than the more geographical lines you have drawn.

      For example, what makes the BRICS the BRICS are economic and trade relationships that attempt to by-pass the current order of Western economic hegemony that has dominated global trade and geo-politics since, roughly, the mid-18th Century.

      There are also increasingly important micro and macro trading routes developing between bordering regions that run counter to geo-political status quo, such as the rapidly developing trade between China, Vietnam and Cambodia, which Americans would have you believe are hostile nations that can be wedged apart at will but confound that at ground level (as they did various empires that appear on old maps).

      And then the oddities such as China-Australia-USA, the first two a trade bloc, the latter two a military-bloc (both working to Australian advantage).

      I'm not sure if the world is as settled as we like to imagine.

      But Hofstadter was spot-on.  "When in doubt, attack" - Gen. George S. Patton

      What about my Daughter's future?

      by koNko on Wed Nov 30, 2011 at 08:21:26 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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