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View Diary: NE-Sen: Democrat Ben Nelson reportedly will announce retirement (306 comments)

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  •  If the GOP keeps up its idiocy, the House is most (8+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    caul, TofG, filby, rb608, cybersaur, askew, TimmyB, demgem

    definitely in play.

    We don't want our country back, we want our country FORWARD. --Eclectablog

    by Samer on Tue Dec 27, 2011 at 10:52:40 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  The house is not in play (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Tiger in BlueDenver, Pager

      but the Senate is.  Sorry....but all of these bums retiring when we need them most, knowing what's at stake, can go to hell.  I loathe Nelson but he is better than a bagger in his place...or a bagger controlled Senate cause our guys don't want to fight!!  

      •  The Houe is in play. A good number of the freshman (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        cybersaur, Samer

        class are not likely to return. With the Ds gaining a few points in each gneric poll and better than expected results from redistricting in a number of states, it really wouldn't surprise me to see Ds regain the House. Unfortunately I wouldn't be surprised if we failed to hold the Senate.

      •  The House Is In Play (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        savvyspy, JanL, optimusprime

        I wouldn't put the chance of a flip at 50-50, but the House is in play. Just as Dems took seats in 2006 and 2008 that were in districts that went for McCain and would be hard to defend, Republicans took seats in 2010 that were won not only by Obama but by Kerry and will be hard to defend. Plus there are districts where angry voters just wanted "something else" and are only now realizing what that something else is (see Kathy Hochul's win in Republican-dominated NY-26). There is a degree of buyer's remorse going on. Don't know if it will be enough, but it will probably be enough to make it a contest.

        I had already written off the Nebraska seat even if Nelson were to run again. But I still think odds of holding the Senate are good even with this likely Republican pickup. I'd put odds on Warren in MA as a D pickup, AZ is in play, Lugar has to get through a primary in Indiana, Midwestern incumbents are looking surprisingly good, and even ND isn't a sure thing for the Republicans right now.

        There's a long way to go till November....

        •  I sure hope you and Inkpen are right (0+ / 0-)

          ...about the House. You're more savvy than I am, but I sure don't hold much hope. I DO for the senate, though and I'm not even concerned about the presidency. O's got it.

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