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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Steve Austria bails, avoiding Republican primary war in OH-10 (147 comments)

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  •  That "underperformance" is a fiction (1+ / 0-)
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    If the polling average is just a couple points off what a candidate gets in a multi-candidate field, that's not underperformance by the candidate, that's damn good polling in a hard-to-poll caucus.

    Polls are just statistical approximations, with margins of error and confidence intervals, and the numbers cannot legitimately be treated as so exact as to say a candidate just 2-3 points off from the polls somehow overperformed or underperformed.

    Romney is equally likely to perform a couple points better than the polls Tuesday, as a couple points worse.

    43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Mon Jan 02, 2012 at 06:28:28 PM PST

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