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View Diary: CA-26: Republican Rep. Elton Gallegly will retire (74 comments)

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  •  And (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV, MichaelNY

    As Jeff notes below, Strickland did worse in CA-26 in the 2010 controller's race than he did in 2006. Now, the seat was open in `06, but still, 2010 should have counteracted that somewhat. Yet it didn't. (And thus goes California.)

    Political Director, Daily Kos

    by David Nir on Sat Jan 07, 2012 at 12:21:41 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  My point is merely that Chiang is way above (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MinnesotaTwins, MichaelNY

      average in terms of an opponent.  

      If all elections were equal, I'd say Strickland was favored over some-Ventura-Dem based on those numbers.

      But elections aren't equal.  Strickland got those numbers in an off year.  This is a Prez year, which should make it winnable for a solid Dem.  A weak Dem coming out of a divisive, and I'd favor Strickland.

      More likely it will be a strong Dem who win about 52/48, just like the 2010 race, but I sure wish those chiang numbers were more like 55/45.  Then I'd be more optimistic.

      Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

      by tommypaine on Sat Jan 07, 2012 at 12:32:04 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

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