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View Diary: 2012 Congressional Race Ratings, Part 1: The House (with map) (72 comments)

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  •  Sutton/Renacci (0+ / 0-)

    Considering McCain got 51% in a very bad year for Republicans in that seat, and that Sutton is used to holding a D+5 seat, where is her path to victory? I just don't see her winning. I'm curious to know what you think.

    Also, Johnson really did not get a legitimate opponent. He has three "some dudes" running. Unless Obama gets to like 55% in that seat, I see a combination of Johnson having enough crossover appeal and his opponent being a "some dude" as being his path to victory. Also, Republican polling is supposedly showing good news for Johnson...

    •  rookie (1+ / 0-)
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      Renacci has yet to show that he can win in anything other than a red wave year. Sutton may be able to beat him over the head with some of the unpopular votes he's taken, including Medicare. Also, the GOP brand has declined in Ohio since Kasich took over. Not saying Sutton should be favored, but I think a tossup rating is appropriate.

      SSP poster. 42, CA-5, -0.25/-3.90

      by sacman701 on Wed Jan 11, 2012 at 08:07:34 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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