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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Paul Babeu to Paul Gosar: 'Are you insane?' (198 comments)

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  •  I think I'm with bjssp on this one (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bumiputera

    While MN-06 has a PVI of R+7, MN-07 has a PVI of R+5.

    In other words, a suburban analogue of Colin Peterson could beat Bachmann and hold this district in '14.

    I do not know if any of the potential Ds meet that "Colin Peterson" standard, however. Rick Nolan, maybe.

    "I hope; therefore, I can live."
    For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

    by tietack on Wed Jan 25, 2012 at 08:46:14 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  But isn't MN-07 more ancestrally Dem than (0+ / 0-)

      that, and MN-06 ancestrally Republican?  Anyway, the rural people in MN-07 are not as bad as the exurban/suburban Republicans in MN-06.

      I changed by not changing at all, small town predicts my fate, perhaps that's what no one wants to see. -6.38, -4.15

      by James Allen on Wed Jan 25, 2012 at 08:52:31 AM PST

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    •  Good to know I am not completely out to sea (0+ / 0-)

      on this one.

      Like I said above, I think this notion applies: the districts are red, until they aren't. That's usually said about swing states, but I think it works here, too. I don't think anyone is predicting that there's going to be some sort of long-term trend away from Republicans in a district like MN 06 or 05, but does there need to be? Even if we only hold such a district for two or three terms, a lot can be accomplished if similar victories occur in other places.

    •  But the 6th and 7th have very different profiles (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, tietack, sapelcovits, jncca

      the 7th was a longtime Democratic-Farmer-Labor stronghold and is far more rural than the 6th.  Further, Peterson was chairman, now ranking member, of the house agriculture committee which allows him to bring back a lot of pork for his district.

      •  Having driven through the 6th (0+ / 0-)

        to see my wife's family in the 7th, I think you're right only in part. There is a lot of farming in the 6th, and St. Cloud is no slouch of a D stronghold.

        However, I don't know the proportions w/r/t exurbs / farms / St. Cloud in MN-06. So you could be correct enough for the purpose of this discussion.

        "I hope; therefore, I can live."
        For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

        by tietack on Wed Jan 25, 2012 at 10:30:15 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

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