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View Diary: Breaking: States with Democratic Govs had 15% better unemployment numbers than states with GOP Govs (68 comments)

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  •  I was thinking to run it back a couple months (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    smileycreek, ColoTim, skymutt, Just Bob, doroma

    Basically, all the talking I'm seeing is in response to the last week's numbers. I'll run it back 10 weeks and post the result in an update.

    You're right, however. It's a very simple analysis. I wanted to get something up first after I saw those idiotic comments.

    Would you find a 10-week analysis more compelling?

    The shared subtle essence of human consciousness and the unity of natural law: two sides, one coin.

    by greenkrete on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 02:11:18 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  A year, minimum, I would say. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      greenkrete

      I wouldn't be interested in ten weeks... that's too short.  If McDonnell's claim cannot be backed up over a year's period, you've got something.

    •  Its also a strong hypothesis that Dems will win (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      greenkrete

      GOP morons have ruthlessly pursued their austerity / gut-education / gut infrastructure (unless feds are paying) agenda which will hurt their states now, and clearly deter new business investment looking forward.

      There is a clear logic of industrial clusters, and clear rewards to creating a world-class educational infrastructure.  Republican governors usually reject both of these tenets - their elections and re-elections rely primarily on sucking up to petrochemical and agribusiness barons.

      To pick an obvious example of chickens coming home to roost, take Mitch Daniels and the company he used to run, Eli Lilly.  Unable to attract top talent to a state in the midst of accelerating decline - one headline would be shitty schools getting worse - the company, which is still one of the largest employers in the state, is slowly imploding.  Eli Lilly won't be an independent company in 10 years, and its acquirer probably won't employ anybody in Indiana.  

      Play that demise out in sector after sector and you can see that Republican governors are basically agents of euthanasia for collapsing economies.

      Their Super Pac's bigger than your Super Pac.

      by Minerva on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 02:30:42 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  This also sounds nonsense to me (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      greenkrete

      Not just because these numbers are from one week of new unemployment claims but also the fact that these are supposed to be new UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS and the lower numbers should be better.
      In other words, the 0.0380% per capita of new UNEMPLOYMENT claims should be better than 0.0436% from states with Democratic government. I don't know why you throw the word "reduction" in your conclusion either. That word makes no sense in this context.

      On top of all that, the whole logic is nonsensical. Some states might have a more dynamic workforce (e.g. hi-tech jobs) and, therefore, more people will be laid off and find new jobs whereas other states might have more stable workforce (say, agriculture or basic manufacturing). Therefore, the numbers of new unemployment claims mean nothing. If you use the number of new jobs created per capita then it makes more sense.

      I have no idea why this diary gets on the Rec list !!

      •  These are reductions in new claim filings (0+ / 0-)

        These numbers of new unemployment insurance claims are lower than the previous week. They're a reduction. The bigger the reduction in unemployment, the better. I simply followed the convention used by the Department of Labor.

        The shared subtle essence of human consciousness and the unity of natural law: two sides, one coin.

        by greenkrete on Sun Feb 05, 2012 at 05:34:07 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

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