Skip to main content

View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/20 (389 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  I think Madigan will run. (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Setsuna Mudo, askew, MichaelNY

    Also, if we were going to lose the Governorship, it would have been, in 2010. I think Illinois is at that point, were it would take a perfect storm. Corruption, red tide, and a moderate.

    20, Dude, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus! (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin and Elizabeth Warren for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon Feb 20, 2012 at 02:34:48 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  I'm not so sure. (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, lordpet8, JGibson, MichaelNY

      I think Illinois likes to elect its token moderate Republicans, be it Mark Kirk or Judy Baar Topinka. Before Kirk's recent health scare, I would have wagered that Kirk would run for Governor in 2014. Depending on how his recovery progresses, I think that's still a possibility.

      My money is now on Dan Rutherford, the new state Treasurer. I've harped on this before, but I think he's noting Brady's mistakes and taking them to heart. Similar profile -- downstate state Senator, but unlike Brady, he's amping up his socially moderate cred to appeal to the collar (e.g., voting yes on civil unions.)

      Brady, of course, was also no moderate, and it's that that really saved Quinn's ass -- suburban moderates voted for Kirk without hesitation, but couldn't do the same for Brady. The drop-offs you observe between Kirk and Brady in the collar are partially attributable to Kirk's base being the North Shore, but nonetheless.

      Not to mention, I don't doubt that Jason Plummer was a drag on the ticket. Man, that guy was dumb. I'll actually somewhat heartened if the GOP is dumb enough to nominate that guy for IL-12.

      Editor, Daily Kos Elections. IL-05.

      by jeffmd on Mon Feb 20, 2012 at 02:50:07 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Don't I recall (0+ / 0-)

        that Topinka is a bit of a nutcase? I feel like she ran hard right in 2006.

        Ok, so I read the polls.

        by andgarden on Mon Feb 20, 2012 at 03:31:21 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I think she was just trying to be the Anti-Rod. (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Setsuna Mudo, andgarden, MichaelNY

          And it almost would have worked, but no Republican was going to get elected in Illinois in 2006. People dumped their anti-Rod votes on the Green Party guy, Rich Whitney.

          Topinka overall is fairly moderate; she's (one of) the GOPers I voted for last year. She's been around for awhile though, so I'm skeptical that she'll move up. Rutherford, Kinzinger, and Schock are the rising stars; Kirk, I would say, is the "dean" of the IL GOP.

          Editor, Daily Kos Elections. IL-05.

          by jeffmd on Mon Feb 20, 2012 at 07:03:49 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site