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View Diary: Brokered Convention - Help Me Out (25 comments)

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  •  There wont be a white night ridding in (8+ / 0-)

    on his valant steed to save the GOP from the mess they have gotten themselves into. There will probably be a brokered convention, but it will be decided behind closed doors and from the current selection of idiots they have now. No self respecting republican would want in on this hot mess. And even if they did, there wouldn't be consent enough between all the waring factions to pick just one. It will be Romney through committee and delegate pledging.

    Lo que separa la civilizacion de la anarquia son solo siete comidas.

    by psilocynic on Mon Feb 27, 2012 at 09:32:09 AM PST

    •  But then, are they really in the mess (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      psilocynic

      you think they are in? We think they are a disaster but there are plenty of polls that suggest that Romney may finally dispatch Santorum and get enough delegates to win, maybe not overwhelmingly but good enough. And then we will have an election choice between an incumbent who is doing kinda OK and a challenger who doesn't poll disastrously and has a solid base of 180 EV's. Sure, Romney has to find 93 EV's to win but, with a boatload of cash, and some creative vote rigging in close states like Ohio, he might pull it off. That's not my thinking, of course, but I can see how Republicans would think that. Bottom line: I am not so sure that, come Convention time in Tampa, the mood will be quite so Chicken Little.

      Fructose is a liver poison. Stop eating it today.

      by Anne Elk on Mon Feb 27, 2012 at 10:20:15 AM PST

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    •  There won't be a brokered convention ... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      carver, psilocynic, janmtairy

      because there are no brokers. If (as is quite possible) no candidate manages to win the first ballot, we're in uncharted waters, and tales of the truly brokered conventions of yesteryear provide little insight into what might happen.

      Apart from whatever allegiance they might feel to the candidate they are obliged to support on the first ballot, the delegates are basically free agents and not really accountable to any party bosses. So, a backroom deal could be made, but that's no guarantee that it would be accepted by the full convention.

      But I very much agree with your main premise that there will be no savior-- for so many reasons. Start with the fact that there are no good candidates at all among nationally prominent Republicans. The names cited in the diary are just further embarrassments. And even if there were a really good candidate he wouldn't want to damage his political future by accepting such a tainted nomination. No, the nominee will be someone who comes to the convention with delegates-- almost certainly Romney.

      "The smartest man in the room is not always right." -Richard Holbrooke

      by Demi Moaned on Mon Feb 27, 2012 at 10:26:31 AM PST

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    •  If they were going to do the switch, they'd start (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      psilocynic

      earlier than Tampa.

      Two months is a really short period to do a Presidential Campaign.  

      Aside: However in the two weeks prior to Palin getting "fully vetted" her and McCain's popularity was at an all-time high.  Once she spoke without benefit of prepared texts that was all over, but don't think they're not aware of that.  It is possible (in the 5% sort-of-way) that someone over there is looking at that and if a debacle of historic proportions (e.g. worse than Dole) appears to be in the offing, they might want to pull a switch.  But the national campaign will have to be built prior to Tampa.

      I don't see how you could build a campaign for "someone to be named later."  Doesn't mean it couldn't be done, but it would require a wholly new kind of organization.

      Happy little moron, Lucky little man.
      I wish I was a moron, MY GOD, Perhaps I am!
      —Spike Milligan

      by polecat on Mon Feb 27, 2012 at 10:36:10 AM PST

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