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View Diary: Brace Yourselves: AZ/MI Spin, But It's Still The Delegates, Stupid! (20 comments)

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  •  Two separate questions. (0+ / 0-)

    #1 is whether Romney has enough delegates to get a first-ballot nomination without any deals or messing around.

    #2 is whether Romney is in danger of losing a plurality of delegates.

    #1 is, at the moment, a 'no.' So is #2.

    GOP: The Party of Acid rain, Abortion of the American Dream, and Amnesty for Wall Street.

    by Attorney at Arms on Tue Feb 28, 2012 at 08:09:06 AM PST

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    •  Your next diary (0+ / 0-)

      Since i don't think anyone has a shot at a first ballot nomination, is to see how many ballots delegates are bound for.  in some states i thinks its 1 ballot, some 2, some 3, and others are bound until released.

      So the calculus gets more fun; almost as fun as, well....calculus.  

      :-)

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Tue Feb 28, 2012 at 08:23:10 AM PST

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      •  Correct (0+ / 0-)

        Most are 1. Some are 2. So far I can only think of Texas is 3, and, yes, some are bound until released.

        GOP: The Party of Acid rain, Abortion of the American Dream, and Amnesty for Wall Street.

        by Attorney at Arms on Tue Feb 28, 2012 at 03:00:38 PM PST

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        •  At this rate (0+ / 0-)

          Texas might be having its primary after the convention lol.  Hopefully now that the court maps are drawn texas gets some certainty and we can handicap it's role in the race better.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Wed Feb 29, 2012 at 07:47:21 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

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