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View Diary: Ohio, Super Tuesday and primary voter psychology (101 comments)

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  •  Just to clarify this point (7+ / 0-)

    There are actually going to be two votes for president on the Ohio ballot.  

    Voters will mark one choice for the proportional at-large delegates.  Santorum will be on the ballot statewide for this vote, and this is the vote that the media will be reporting on Tuesday.  

    Voters will also mark a choice for winner-take-all congressional district delegates (3 per district).  This is where Santorum is not on the ballot in three congressional districts.  The theory is that Santorum voters in those districts are supposed to vote for Santorum in the statewide vote, and then strategically vote for Gingrich in the district vote.  However, I have a hard time seeing anyone but true political junkies actually doing that.  

    •  I disagree (0+ / 0-)

      though whether enough do that is another matter.

    •  I thought it doesn't matter (0+ / 0-)

      If Santorum wins one of the congressional districts where he isn't on the ballot, I thought the delegates would be appointed by some GOP committee?

      Anyhow, Santorum will be on the ballot statewide for the proportional vote, and that's what matters most: this is a media thing. If Santorum loses Ohio, it's really truly over.

      If Santorum ekes out a win, however slight and regardless of the district vote, the narrative will be that Romney still can't lock up the important GOP states - he'll lose across the South and the key state of Ohio. He'll still probably get the nomination eventually, but the primary fight will drag on all the way to the end.

    •  This is the sort of comment (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      that keeps me coming back here.  I have read this nowhere in the National Press.

      There are 63 delegates at stake in Ohio (there are 3 super delegates).  Of those delegates, 18 are awarded based on the state vote, and the rest are awarded on a winner take all basis by CD.

      This may or may not matter depending on the CD - if he didn't file in CD's he would likely win this is a very big deal.

      The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

      by fladem on Sun Mar 04, 2012 at 11:10:38 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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