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View Diary: Republican turnout woes intensify (102 comments)

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  •  This is really, really wrong. (2+ / 0-)
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    dannyinla, Knarfc

    WA, MO, and ID all went from regular primaries to caucuses.    Virginia had only Mitt and Paul on the ballot.  You need to eliminate these four to make a valid comparison.  When you do, GOP turnout is down only 2%--which could be accountable by weather, etc.  if you look at the states where there was a lot of media attention, and the stakes were high--Iowa, NH, South Carolina, Michigan, Ohio--then GOP turnout went up quite a bit.   Complacency, and bad data, can be killers.

    •  It went up slightly in Ohio but ... (0+ / 0-)

      in 2008, McCain had already sealed the deal by Ohio. And their turnout this year was half the Democrats' 2008 turnout in Ohio.

      Take the "Can't(or)" out of Congress. Support E. Wayne Powell in Va-07. http://www.ewaynepowell.com/

      by anastasia p on Wed Mar 07, 2012 at 03:29:03 PM PST

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      •  It was up almost 10% in Ohio, over 100,000 voters (0+ / 0-)

        But you make a good point as far as the stage of the primary battles  in 2008 vs. 2012.  That's why such comparisons are of limited utility.  The relative order of the states' primaries has changed some over the past 4 years, the presence of other down-ticket races or propositions, snowstorms and other "distractions", and obviously the competitiveness of the presidential race at the time of the vote.

        I just think kos is reading way too much into what is a very small GOP downtick.

    •  Yeah. And the real issue here is not so much (0+ / 0-)

      to what extent the GOP fanatics turn out to vote for their favorite not-theotherguy candidate, but what sort of unity or leadership does the eventual nominee bring to the table?

      Will the party fragment, as perhaps evidenced by the current four way split of the four major candidates now racking up delegates at various rates and with widely diverging platforms and rhetoric. The Dem Party was down to a two way split in 2008 by this time in the game, and people were pretty worried how just the two strong candidates might split the party for the general.

      H'mm. I'm not terribly into this, anymore.

      by Knarfc on Wed Mar 07, 2012 at 07:41:18 PM PST

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