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View Diary: The GOP's messed-up delegate race (173 comments)

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  •  that's pretty different than statewide WTA (0+ / 0-)

    especially in a state with such internal regional variation. only way any candidate wins it all in a primary is if noone else is running. i could see paul walking away with delegates from CA, if he's still kicking around by then.

    •  I calculated 90% for Romney (0+ / 0-)

      but make it 80% or even 70%.

      Thaat would give Romney around a 60 delegate margin.

      •  mccain won 14 CDs in 2000 (0+ / 0-)

        in his primary loss to bush. mccain only narrowly won a bunch of CDs in 2008, in an essentially two way race (huckabee barely campaigned here, focusing on other super tuesday states in the south), but had all the candidates been focusing here, a lot of them could have tipped over to romney.

        everything depends on who is still in the race and with funds to campaign by june. if it's still a 4-way race, i don't think romney can count on wrapping up california's districts that easily. he'll crush in the bay area and parts of socal, but there are many varieties of CA wingnut, and not all of them like the party establishment.

    •  in OC, the big cheeses want Boehner ousted. (TARP) (0+ / 0-)

      The OC GOP is among the biggest of donor groups in the nation, sadly.

      I wish we could pluck them out and send them to the Alabama GOP where they belong.

      202-224-3121 to Congress in D.C. USE it! You can tell how big a person is by what it takes to discourage them. "We're not perfect, but they're nuts."--Barney Frank 01/02/2012

      by cany on Wed Mar 07, 2012 at 04:48:09 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

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