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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 3/9 (331 comments)

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  •  Lee Rogers (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    redrelic17, MichaelNY

    He's an intriguing candidate.  Obama won the seat (49-48, Brown and Boxer got trounced here though) and he seems to be an accomplished MD.  And it looks like he knows how to get free pub and has a Wellstone-ian sense of humor.  Maybe keep CA-25 on the radar?

    NY-12 resident, lives across the street from NY-14

    by Bobby Big Wheel on Fri Mar 09, 2012 at 02:07:19 PM PST

    •  Yes, keep it on the radar (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      But it's a very tough district. Santa Clarita is pretty red and I don't see that changing anytime soon. Palmdale is promising and should be better for Obama than 4 years ago because of so many young people and minorities moving into the Antelope Valley. But this is a part of LA's TV market, so no broadcast ads, any ads will probably be on cable. Rogers needs to not only hope that a general election will have huge turnout for Obama but also that those people vote down the ballot. This is a seat that should become swingy by the end of the decade. Rogers will need his A-game to compete here.

      Swingnut, new CA-38 resident, more punk than you! Chairman of the DKE Ginger Left-handed caucus.

      by uclabruin18 on Fri Mar 09, 2012 at 02:37:05 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  CA25 (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        Dems may be able to compete there in a few years, but it will probably take a lot of organizational grunt work. Brown lost by 13 and Boxer by 17, but this may be just because Dem turnout completely collapsed in 2010. CA25 was one of many SoCal districts where Obama did well but Brown and Boxer didn't, but the others are all upscale (mostly coastal) districts with a fair number of libertarian types who can accept a Dem as president but not for lower offices. I don't think the high desert is in the same category.

        SSP poster. 42, CA-5, -0.25/-3.90

        by sacman701 on Fri Mar 09, 2012 at 03:04:09 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  CA25 (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          I think it's a case of the Latino vote collapsing in 2010, similar to what we saw in the Central Valley.  As uclabruin pointed out, Palmdale is trending our way and this could be a blue seat by decade's end.

          NY-12 resident, lives across the street from NY-14

          by Bobby Big Wheel on Fri Mar 09, 2012 at 03:28:17 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

        •  Lockyer losing says more than Brown and Boxer (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          Lockyer losing it (by 3.5%) means no statewide Dem won in 2010.  That's close enough to think Lockyer or Obama can win it in 2012, and we could definitely beat an Angle-type here, but beat McKeon, no realistic chance of that... though when retires a solid candidate could do it.

          Hopefully Buck will do us a favor and retire in a Presidential year....

          Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

          by tommypaine on Fri Mar 09, 2012 at 05:19:25 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

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