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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Heinrich & Griego win vote at New Mexico Democratic convention (68 comments)

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  •  Obama up to 49% approval on Ras (5+ / 0-)

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...

    For the nervous nellies out there.

    "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

    by Paleo on Tue Mar 13, 2012 at 06:35:16 AM PDT

    •  It's good news (0+ / 0-)

      That's a great poll result.  Looks like the high gasoline prices are being offset by the good jobs numbers.  Let's hope it stays that way.  Yeah...just a bit of a "nervous nellie" on this one.  

      - If you don't like gay marriage, blame straight people. They're the ones who keep having gay babies.

      by r2did2 on Tue Mar 13, 2012 at 06:59:19 AM PDT

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    •  Funny about ras (0+ / 0-)

      He has Romney up 8, 3 days ago and now they are tied. I think this was some propaganda to help Romney in the south maybe? anyway his polls are getting as bouncy as gallup.

    •  NYT/CBS will show Obama surge next month (5+ / 0-)

      Seriously, they will.  Unless they poll sooner than a month, than they'll show a surge sooner.

      These poll movements are all just statistical noise.

      When Gallup and Ras have Obama at 49% and others have him lower, you know not to make too much of one or two polls.  "Totality of polling" rule, as always.

      I expected Ras would have Obama moving up the past couple days since 44-54 was absurd even for him, and I bet my left nut (we just had our 3rd kid and don't want more so I can afford it) Gallup has Obama moving downward at least a small touch today.

      44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Tue Mar 13, 2012 at 07:50:07 AM PDT

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      •  Last couple of days have felt like opposite day (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ChadmanFL, DCCyclone, R30A

        Gallup at 49-43, Times/CBS at 41-47, has the world been turned upside down?

        "We calmly accept our uncertain position." Joey Rathburn

        by Paleo on Tue Mar 13, 2012 at 08:00:35 AM PDT

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      •  I hope Gallup rises today (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        sapelcovits, jncca

        if for no other reason than it might get you to reassess how attached you are to your testicles.

      •  Actually the poll movements are more than noise. (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        DCCyclone, NM Ward Chair

        They've really changed the % of D-R-I in both the ABC and CBS polls to significantly poll more R/I.  ABC even acknowledged that they shifted to fewer Ds because "they feel AAs are not enthused to vote".  

        And Chuck Todd went on the Today Show and didn't discuss any of these shifts but did call out the PPP poll for being "manipulated" to show that the South isn't voting for Obama because of racism.

        President Obama at Madison Rally 9/28/2010 - "Change is not a spectator sport."

        by askew on Tue Mar 13, 2012 at 09:42:33 AM PDT

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        •  Todd's polling biases are his big blind spot (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          NM Ward Chair, askew

          PPP is a solid pollster.  Yes they ask some off-the-wall questions that generate outrageous results that can't be taken too seriously, and PPP's crew are guilty of taking some of those results too seriously in their commentary.  But PPP's election toplines are solid, and it's Todd's big failure to refuse to acknowledge that.

          I had no idea ABC deliberately reduced Ds in their sample because they think black voters won't show up!  That is a major fail.  Even GOP political consultants and pollsters are on the record as believing black voters will show up the same as last time.  And they are right.

          44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Tue Mar 13, 2012 at 06:47:43 PM PDT

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