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View Diary: Heavy evangelical turnout in Alabama and Mississippi (159 comments)

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  •  Five Thirty Eight Predicts Santorum Loses Both (2+ / 0-)
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    apimomfan2, lyvwyr101

    According to FiveThirtyEight, Santorum has only a 9% chance of winning Alabama and a 2% chance of winning Mississippi based on polling.  That doesn't square with what I know about Alabama, but Nate Silver is usually pretty right on.  Gingrich is favored in Alabama over Romney, though not by much, and Romney is favored in Mississippi, though again, not by much.

    •  Yet Nate says that Willard polls better than (1+ / 0-)
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      he performs.

    •  Honestly, they care more about beating Obama. (2+ / 0-)
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      lyvwyr101, boofdah

      That matters more than whether or not the person they vote for is an evangelical Christian. If you listened to any of the NPR pieces they've been doing on the primaries, in almost every state you hear "We just want someone to beat Obama." That's especially true in MS where they'd rather vote for a Mormon than have the black man win another four years in office.

      An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. - Gandhi

      by missLotus on Tue Mar 13, 2012 at 04:08:56 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  We need Gingrich to win both! (1+ / 0-)
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      Or Romney can all but declare the race over - that he has won in the deep south.  

      Newt wins both and he can say he's back in the game and make it a three way race to the convention.  

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