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View Diary: Supreme Court, Affordable Care Act: does the Anti-Injunction Act stop a mandate ruling until 2015? (75 comments)

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  •  Polls I've seen, when broken down, indicate that (2+ / 0-)
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    jpmassar, Sylv

    a minority support repealing the ACA and returning to the previous status quo.

    A majority is split between leaving it alone, or repealing it and replacing it with something better.  Public option?  Single payer?

    Put the repeal only and the repeal but replace together and you have a majority as well, so it all depends on what that "repeal and replace" group means.

    My gut feeling is that a majority will not hold it against President Obama if the law is upheld.  They'll either be happy with that, or - I think in most cases - they will shrug their shoulders, say "oh well," and advocate for improving what is now a law upheld by the Supreme Court.  Of course, 38-40% will damn Obama to hell no matter what.

    So, if the law is upheld, any rallying will be of that 38-40% hard core right wing.  I think the majority will simply say hey, the Supreme Court has spoken and that's it.  You Republicans at some point need to get in step.

    I compare the latter scenario to Citizens United.  That case consolidated much more solid opposition than this one, but I haven't seen any hint of legislation to reverse it.  In spite of its overwhelming unpopularity, I do not see the Republicans being demonized for it except at places like this.  

    I think most people blame it on the court itself, and you can't vote them out, of course.  I do not think it will be a major factor in the election, even though it is despised.  Or if it is a major factor, it will be because of the resulting financial impact on the election, not on the decision itself.

    Likewise the ACA being upheld outright will have minimal impact on the election, I think.  If the Court refuses to hear the case because of the AIA, that is more likely to hurt Obama than an outright win, if he can be hurt by the ACA any more than he has been already.  I think the administration realizes this, hence its willingness to waive consideration of the AIA.

    What'd the devil give you for your soul, Tommy? He taught me to play this here guitar REAL good. Oh son, for that you traded your everlastin' soul? Well, I wuddn' usin' it.

    by ZedMont on Mon Mar 26, 2012 at 07:57:10 AM PDT

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