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View Diary: President Obama, Mitt Romney, and the path to 270 electoral votes (261 comments)

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  •  I'm not thinking of state-specific dynamics (0+ / 0-)

    I'm thinking of national dynamics that will tend to affect all the states.

    By October the internal fighting among the Republicans is over, with party and factional leaders all lined up behind Romney, who is focused on contrasting himself and his policies with Obama.  Gas prices, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Europe - plenty of opportunity for bad news.

    That rising tide will left, or depress, all states.

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