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View Diary: Obama leads Mitt Romney by landslide numbers (226 comments)

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  •  clearly Romney will try for a time (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    RichM, LibertySon, TomP, TofG

    in a lot of places; the big question is where he'll focus resources in the last month or so when it goes down to the wire. My guess is that the upper mid-west trio of MN, WI and MI will get a relatively token effort, and New Mexico looks hopeless at this stage, so I expect the main firepower to be directed at some or all of NV, IA, VA, PA, FL, OH, NC, NH and CO. If Obama can hold on in PA, which he won by 10 points in 2008, it's looking a tough task for Romney. He would have an awful lot of paths to 270. So with PA looking relatively tight this time round I am expecting Romney to make a very big effort there. Admittedly, McCain tried hard too to no avail, but Obama's strength in the west almost forces him to try.

    •  NM is also going to have the Johnson factor.. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      TofG

      Johnson should get 3-10, and 2/3 from Romney..

      When Johnson gets the nomination, NM is Blue in ink..

      (Of course if Paul goes LP/AE, then it may as well be over)

    •  PA is to the GOP what Lucy's football (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      TofG, thematt523

      is to Charlie Brown.  They always try for it, they always think they have a shot, but they always lose it.  I believe Bush Sr. was the last Republican to win it in 1988, right?

      •  Why (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        TofG

        do they still consider PA a swing state?  It's pretty consistently blue on a presidential level.  I feel like if you've voted for the same party for 5 elections in a row, you're not really a "swing" state.

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