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View Diary: State Polling Summary: Obama has a 95% chance of being re-elected, BUT (75 comments)

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  •  This assumes Romney does not shoot himself (0+ / 0-)

    in the foot on the grand scale, as McCain did with Palin. He got a bump at the convention right after the announcement, which was the only time in the whole campaign that he led Obama. Then the McCain-Palin ticket fell in the polls at about 1.5% daily for two weeks straight, and stayed down.

    I wouldn't count on any such thing. But I would count on Romney shooting himself in one toe after another right up to election day. As TX Gov. Ann Richards said of George H W Bush, it's not his fault that he was born with a silver foot in his mouth.

    The fundamental question with Republicans is always whether their campaign dirty tricks (including gerrymandering and vote suppression) can overbalance their growing need to insult and even injure every segment of the population other than rich White (usually but not always Southern) Evangelical "Christian" males. Romney has offended a clear majority of the population multiple times, and the rest of the party has been much worse. (Think about that.)

    Much of the ground game this year will come down to the question whether the Obama GOTV drive can overcome the "papers please" voter ID laws. If so, Romney has no chance. Certainly Blacks, women, Latinos, and students have sufficient motivation to vote, if we can assist them past the bureaucracy imposed by the "More Government is Less" Newspeak Doublethink crowd.

    Busting the Dog Whistle code.

    by Mokurai on Sun May 06, 2012 at 02:19:02 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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