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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/4 (323 comments)

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  •  I may be half-remembering or misremembering this (1+ / 0-)
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    But didn't Nate Silver claim that average% gain/loss in household income correlates better with election results than unemployment rate figures?

    Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

    by MichaelNY on Fri May 04, 2012 at 07:53:27 PM PDT

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    •  Yes he did, but... (1+ / 0-)
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      ...I bet the unemployment rate trend coming out of a recession, rather than the absolote rate, corrolates plenty well enough.  And unemployment rate is more reliable in real time, you don't see crazy revisions like you do for real income and most else.

      44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Fri May 04, 2012 at 08:11:04 PM PDT

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